**Plans for a multinational force in Ukraine, led by the UK and France through the Coalition of the Willing, remain explicitly conditional on a prior ceasefire or peace agreement with Russia.** A letter of intent was signed in January 2026, the UK assumed command of a headquarters in Kyiv by July, and recent reporting highlights Macron’s “Odessa-Plan” for post-peace reassurance operations involving French, British, and Turkish personnel. No EU or NATO member has made a qualifying formal announcement committing troops as part of a peacekeeping deployment. Russian statements have warned that such forces would constitute an escalation, while several European governments have expressed reservations. Ongoing diplomatic and military aid efforts continue, but any announcement hinges on verifiable progress toward hostilities ending within the market’s resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$461,898 Vol.
December 31
4%
$461,898 Vol.
December 31
4%
A qualifying announcement must be part of a formal agreement between a NATO or EU member country and another country or international organization or otherwise indicative of a formalized policy.
Announcements which are statements of intent, contingent, or otherwise are not indicative of a formalized policy will not count
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO, the EU, or member states of either entity, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 6, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying announcement must be part of a formal agreement between a NATO or EU member country and another country or international organization or otherwise indicative of a formalized policy.
Announcements which are statements of intent, contingent, or otherwise are not indicative of a formalized policy will not count
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO, the EU, or member states of either entity, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Plans for a multinational force in Ukraine, led by the UK and France through the Coalition of the Willing, remain explicitly conditional on a prior ceasefire or peace agreement with Russia.** A letter of intent was signed in January 2026, the UK assumed command of a headquarters in Kyiv by July, and recent reporting highlights Macron’s “Odessa-Plan” for post-peace reassurance operations involving French, British, and Turkish personnel. No EU or NATO member has made a qualifying formal announcement committing troops as part of a peacekeeping deployment. Russian statements have warned that such forces would constitute an escalation, while several European governments have expressed reservations. Ongoing diplomatic and military aid efforts continue, but any announcement hinges on verifiable progress toward hostilities ending within the market’s resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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