Election odds & predictions

100%

Faustin-Archange Touadéra

<1%

Anicet-Georges Dologuélé

<1%

Serge Ghislaine Djouri

<1%

Henri-Marie Dondra

97%

MCU

2%

RDC

<1%

MOUNI

<1%

URCA

99%

UPR

<1%

LD

<1%

BR

<1%

FCBE

91%

Yoweri Kaguta Museveni

4%

Robert Kyagulanyi Ssentamu

<1%

Gregory Mugisha Muntuyera

<1%

Munyagwa Mubarak Sserunga

36%

António José Seguro (IND)

31%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

20%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

8%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

79%

Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado

13%

Claudia Vanessa Dobles Camargo

3%

Gerardo Fabricio Alvarado Muñoz

3%

Álvaro Roberto Ramos Chaves

92%

PPSO

4%

PLN

2%

PT

2%

PUSC

90%

Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP)

9%

Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami (BJI)

<1%

National Citizen Party (NCP)

<1%

Jatiya Party (JP(E))

53%

RSP

26%

NC

16%

NCP

8%

CPN-UML

53%

Pacto Histórico (PH)

29%

Centro Democrático (CD)

9%

Partido Conservador Colombiano (PCC)

4%

Alianza Verde / Coalición Centro Esperanza (AV/CCE)

51%

Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)

33%

Historic Pact for Colombia (PH)

8%

Centro Democrático (CD)

4%

Partido Conservador Colombiano (Conservative)

78%

CDU

14%

SPD

7%

AfD

<1%

FDP

46%

Rachida Dati

46%

Emmanuel Grégoire

7%

Sarah Knafo

2%

Pierre-Yves Bournazel

92%

CDU

5%

The Greens

4%

AfD

<1%

BSW

62%

Waddani

30%

No election before 2027

5%

Kulmiye

4%

Justice and Welfare (UCID)

53%

Rafael López Aliaga

15%

Keiko Fujimori

14%

Alfonso López Chau

8%

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa

27%

FP

7%

PL

23%

AP

36%

APP

44%

RP

42%

APP

38%

PP

37%

SP

55%

Péter Magyar

44%

Viktor Orbán

<1%

Klára Dobrev

<1%

László Toroczkai

57%

TISZA

41%

Fidesz

<1%

Momentum

<1%

DK

48%

Abelardo de la Espriella

36%

Iván Cepeda Castro

7%

Paloma Valencia

5%

Sergio Fajardo (DC)

61%

Chong Won-oh

29%

Oh Se-hoon

8%

Na Kyung-won

3%

Park Ju-min

91%

Democratic Party of Korea (DP)

8%

People Power Party (PPP)

<1%

Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP)

<1%

Progressive Party (PP)

83%

Park Chan-dae

11%

Yoo Jeong-bok

3%

Kim Kyo-heung

1%

Lee Hak-jae

53%

Choo Mi-ae

39%

Kim Dong-yeon

7%

Yoo Seong-min

2%

Yeom Tae-yeong

54%

Park Heong-joon

46%

Chun Jae-soo

<1%

Kim Do-eup

4%

Cho Kuk

40%

Kim Jin-tae

5%

Kim Wan-seop

<1%

Lee Chul-gyu

<1%

Kweon Seong-dong

27%

Cho Gil-hyeong

24%

Song Ki-sub

33%

Shin Yong-han

4%

Kim Young-hwan

37%

Moon Jin-seok

35%

Park Soo-hyun

35%

Kang Hoon-sik

34%

Yoon Sang-hyun

70%

Civil Contract

18%

Armenia Alliance

4%

I Have Honor Alliance

4%

Hanrapetutyun Party

92%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

7%

Sweden Democrats (SD)

<1%

Moderate Party (M)

<1%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)

40%

JV

25%

NA

29%

LPV

11%

SV

52%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

17%

Flávio Bolsonaro

13%

Tarcisio de Freitas

7%

Renan Santos

78%

PQ

14%

PLQ

9%

CAQ

<1%

PCQ

79%

Democratic Party

22%

Republican Party

66%

Republican Party

35%

Democratic Party

87%

Kuomintang (KMT)

12%

Democratic Progressive Party (DPP)

2%

Taiwan People’s Party (TPP)

35%

Gavin Newsom

11%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

5%

Pete Buttigieg

5%

Josh Shapiro

53%

J.D. Vance

13%

Marco Rubio

3%

Donald Trump

3%

Ron DeSantis

28%

JD Vance

20%

Gavin Newsom

9%

Marco Rubio

8%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

81%

United Russia (ER)

8%

New People (NL)

5%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)

3%

Rodina

14%

<12%

17%

12%-14%

21%

14%-16%

24%

16%-18%

67%

People’s Party (PPLE)

26%

Bhumjaithai Party (BJT)

8%

Pheu Thai Party (PT)

<1%

Palang Pracharath Party (PPRP)

1%

Mendes 6%+

2%

Mendes 4-6%

3%

Mendes 2-4%

5%

Mendes <2%

27%

<16%

23%

16%-18%

24%

18%-20%

20%

20%-22%

9%

<16%

11%

16%-18%

17%

18%-20%

16%

20%-22%

2%

<10%

<1%

10%-12%

8%

12%-14%

14%

14%-16%

56%

António José Seguro (IND)

30%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

9%

André Ventura (CH)

8%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

3%

<12%

5%

12%-14%

12%

14%-16%

16%

16%-18%

74%

INC

24%

CPI(M)

4%

KEC(M)

2%

IUML

62%

AINRC

13%

INC

10%

ADMK

10%

BJP

97%

United Russia (ER)

<1%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)

<1%

Civic Platform (GP)

<1%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)

85%

BJP

7%

INC

3%

BPF

3%

AITC

49%

AITC

48%

BJP

7%

CPI

6%

CPI(M)

6%

<10

6%

10–12

20%

13–15

39%

16–18

51%

Iván Arias

24%

Xavier Iturralde

15%

Alejandro Reyes

5%

Jhonny Plata

50%

Horacio Poppe

29%

Enrique Leaño

28%

Erick Marcelo Pedrazas López

26%

Franz Tata García

47%

Angélica Sosa

44%

Soo Hyun Chung

43%

Jhonny Fernández

63%

DMK

25%

ADMK

10%

NCP

6%

INC