The Parti Québécois maintains a commanding position in trader assessments for the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election due to consistent polling leads near 30% and its decisive edge among Francophone voters, which concentrates support in key ridings under the first-past-the-post system. Recent surveys from Léger and Pallas Data show the PQ ahead of the PLQ and CAQ, with the latter two parties splitting the federalist vote and limiting their seat potential despite combined support levels. The CAQ's sharp decline under new leader Christine Fréchette, ongoing voter indecision near 50%, and PQ by-election gains have reinforced this outlook. Smaller parties remain marginal in projections.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedQuebec General Election Winner
Quebec General Election Winner
PQ 71%
PLQ 15%
CAQ 15%
PCQ <1%
$763,028 Vol.
$763,028 Vol.
Oct 5, 2026
PQ
71%
PLQ
15%
CAQ
15%
PCQ
<1%
QS
<1%
PVQ
<1%
PQ 71%
PLQ 15%
CAQ 15%
PCQ <1%
$763,028 Vol.
$763,028 Vol.
Oct 5, 2026
PQ
$82,900 Vol.
71%
PLQ
$102,416 Vol.
15%
CAQ
$109,178 Vol.
15%
PCQ
$209,420 Vol.
<1%
QS
$101,615 Vol.
<1%
PVQ
$157,498 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).The Parti Québécois maintains a commanding position in trader assessments for the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election due to consistent polling leads near 30% and its decisive edge among Francophone voters, which concentrates support in key ridings under the first-past-the-post system. Recent surveys from Léger and Pallas Data show the PQ ahead of the PLQ and CAQ, with the latter two parties splitting the federalist vote and limiting their seat potential despite combined support levels. The CAQ's sharp decline under new leader Christine Fréchette, ongoing voter indecision near 50%, and PQ by-election gains have reinforced this outlook. Smaller parties remain marginal in projections.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Market Opened: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Volume
$763,028End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).The Parti Québécois maintains a commanding position in trader assessments for the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election due to consistent polling leads near 30% and its decisive edge among Francophone voters, which concentrates support in key ridings under the first-past-the-post system. Recent surveys from Léger and Pallas Data show the PQ ahead of the PLQ and CAQ, with the latter two parties splitting the federalist vote and limiting their seat potential despite combined support levels. The CAQ's sharp decline under new leader Christine Fréchette, ongoing voter indecision near 50%, and PQ by-election gains have reinforced this outlook. Smaller parties remain marginal in projections.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$763,028End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Parti Québécois maintains a commanding position in trader assessments for the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election due to consistent polling leads near 30% and its decisive edge among Francophone voters, which concentrates support in key ridings under the first-past-the-post system. Recent surveys from Léger and Pallas Data show the PQ ahead of the PLQ and CAQ, with the latter two parties splitting the federalist vote and limiting their seat potential despite combined support levels. The CAQ's sharp decline under new leader Christine Fréchette, ongoing voter indecision near 50%, and PQ by-election gains have reinforced this outlook. Smaller parties remain marginal in projections.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
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