Recent polling and preliminary results from the September 20, 2026 Landtag election in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern show Die Linke securing third place with approximately 6.5 percent, ahead of the Greens at 5.7 percent and well clear of the CDU at 4.9 percent. This positioning stems from Linke's established regional base in eastern Germany, consistent summer surveys placing it between 9 and 12 percent, and weaker performances by centrist and smaller parties facing the five-percent threshold. AfD and SPD lead with 38.2 and 35.5 percent respectively. Trader consensus on Linke for third reflects these vote-share trends and historical patterns in the state. Late shifts in turnout or final counting adjustments remain the primary variables that could still alter the narrow margin for that spot.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLinke 100.0%
CDU <1%
AfD <1%
Grüne <1%
$154,241 Vol.
$154,241 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
CDU
No
AfD
No
Grüne
No
SPD
No
FDP
No
Linke
Yes
FW
No
BSW
No
Linke 100.0%
CDU <1%
AfD <1%
Grüne <1%
$154,241 Vol.
$154,241 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
CDU
$31,802 Vol.
No
AfD
$3,339 Vol.
No
Grüne
$24,749 Vol.
No
SPD
$3,933 Vol.
No
FDP
$1,926 Vol.
No
Linke
$74,124 Vol.
Yes
FW
$4,008 Vol.
No
BSW
$10,360 Vol.
No
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polling and preliminary results from the September 20, 2026 Landtag election in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern show Die Linke securing third place with approximately 6.5 percent, ahead of the Greens at 5.7 percent and well clear of the CDU at 4.9 percent. This positioning stems from Linke's established regional base in eastern Germany, consistent summer surveys placing it between 9 and 12 percent, and weaker performances by centrist and smaller parties facing the five-percent threshold. AfD and SPD lead with 38.2 and 35.5 percent respectively. Trader consensus on Linke for third reflects these vote-share trends and historical patterns in the state. Late shifts in turnout or final counting adjustments remain the primary variables that could still alter the narrow margin for that spot.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$154,241End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polling and preliminary results from the September 20, 2026 Landtag election in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern show Die Linke securing third place with approximately 6.5 percent, ahead of the Greens at 5.7 percent and well clear of the CDU at 4.9 percent. This positioning stems from Linke's established regional base in eastern Germany, consistent summer surveys placing it between 9 and 12 percent, and weaker performances by centrist and smaller parties facing the five-percent threshold. AfD and SPD lead with 38.2 and 35.5 percent respectively. Trader consensus on Linke for third reflects these vote-share trends and historical patterns in the state. Late shifts in turnout or final counting adjustments remain the primary variables that could still alter the narrow margin for that spot.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Volume
$154,241End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent polling and preliminary results from the September 20, 2026 Landtag election in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern show Die Linke securing third place with approximately 6.5 percent, ahead of the Greens at 5.7 percent and well clear of the CDU at 4.9 percent. This positioning stems from Linke's established regional base in eastern Germany, consistent summer surveys placing it between 9 and 12 percent, and weaker performances by centrist and smaller parties facing the five-percent threshold. AfD and SPD lead with 38.2 and 35.5 percent respectively. Trader consensus on Linke for third reflects these vote-share trends and historical patterns in the state. Late shifts in turnout or final counting adjustments remain the primary variables that could still alter the narrow margin for that spot.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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