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Germany predictions & odds

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Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

35%

$14.3K Vol.

$33.4K Liq.

1

Ends in 4 months

Berlin State Election Winner

Berlin State Election Winner

37%

CDU

$3M Vol.

$115K Liq.

7

Ends in 4 months

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

21%

$59.7K Vol.

$21.3K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

17%

$164K Vol.

$24.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Elections: 2nd Place

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Elections: 2nd Place

91%

CDU

$46.1K Vol.

$54.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

2026 FIFA World Cup: Player to make Germany Squad

2026 FIFA World Cup: Player to make Germany Squad

99%

Florian Wirtz

$928 Vol.

$764 Liq.

Ends in 18 days

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner

94%

AfD

$698K Vol.

$68.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Bundesliga: Most Assists

Bundesliga: Most Assists

100%

Michael Olise

$14.0K Vol.

$11.1K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner

88%

AfD

$211K Vol.

$72.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026?

Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026?

51%

0.4-0.6%

$17 Vol.

$1.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Germany.

Polymarket currently hosts 10 active markets for Germany that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $3.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Berlin State Election Winner,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Berlin State Election Winner,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 37% chance to CDU. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Germany predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.