The top three Open teams enter with nearly identical average ratings around 2720–2750 and deep squads of multiple 2700+ grandmasters, producing a narrow contest in the 11-round Swiss team format. The United States leads the seeding with Fabiano Caruana and Wesley So at the top but without Hikaru Nakamura, India defends its 2024 double-gold form behind Arjun Erigaisi and world champion Gukesh Dommaraju, and host Uzbekistan fields Javokhir Sindarov and Nodirbek Abdusattorov with clear home motivation. Early rounds show all favorites securing expected match points without major upsets or roster issues, preserving the tight trader consensus around these three while lower seeds remain long shots.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUnited States of America 28%
India 26%
Uzbekistan 26%
China 8%
$93,344 Vol.
$93,344 Vol.
United States of America
28%
India
26%
Uzbekistan
26%
China
8%
Germany
4%
Azerbaijan
2%
Hungary
2%
Armenia
2%
France
2%
Netherlands
1%
Turkiye
1%
Serbia
1%
England
<1%
Spain
<1%
Georgia
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
Croatia
<1%
Czech Republic
<1%
Greece
<1%
Norway
<1%
Poland
<1%
Argentina
<1%
Austria
<1%
Brazil
<1%
Bulgaria
<1%
Canada
<1%
Chile
<1%
Colombia
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Iran
<1%
Kazakhstan
<1%
Latvia
<1%
Lithuania
<1%
Moldova
<1%
Mexico
<1%
Romania
<1%
Slovenia
<1%
Sweden
<1%
Turkmenistan
<1%
Vietnam
<1%
United States of America 28%
India 26%
Uzbekistan 26%
China 8%
$93,344 Vol.
$93,344 Vol.
United States of America
28%
India
26%
Uzbekistan
26%
China
8%
Germany
4%
Azerbaijan
2%
Hungary
2%
Armenia
2%
France
2%
Netherlands
1%
Turkiye
1%
Serbia
1%
England
<1%
Spain
<1%
Georgia
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
Croatia
<1%
Czech Republic
<1%
Greece
<1%
Norway
<1%
Poland
<1%
Argentina
<1%
Austria
<1%
Brazil
<1%
Bulgaria
<1%
Canada
<1%
Chile
<1%
Colombia
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Iran
<1%
Kazakhstan
<1%
Latvia
<1%
Lithuania
<1%
Moldova
<1%
Mexico
<1%
Romania
<1%
Slovenia
<1%
Sweden
<1%
Turkmenistan
<1%
Vietnam
<1%
If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 11:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The top three Open teams enter with nearly identical average ratings around 2720–2750 and deep squads of multiple 2700+ grandmasters, producing a narrow contest in the 11-round Swiss team format. The United States leads the seeding with Fabiano Caruana and Wesley So at the top but without Hikaru Nakamura, India defends its 2024 double-gold form behind Arjun Erigaisi and world champion Gukesh Dommaraju, and host Uzbekistan fields Javokhir Sindarov and Nodirbek Abdusattorov with clear home motivation. Early rounds show all favorites securing expected match points without major upsets or roster issues, preserving the tight trader consensus around these three while lower seeds remain long shots.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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