A deep field of over 400 titled players, including numerous grandmasters with elite blitz ratings and recent strong performances, drives the tight market consensus around 45-50% implied probabilities for dozens of contenders in the September 22 Titled Tuesday. Recent results highlight this parity, with Sina Movahed claiming the September 15 event on tiebreaks ahead of Vincent Keymer, while prior weeks saw winners like Liem Le, Hans Niemann, and Denis Lazavik emerge from similar large Swiss formats. Factors such as variable participation among top names like Magnus Carlsen, fluctuating form across events, and the inherent variance of 11-round blitz play with tiebreak resolutions keep outcomes widely distributed. This depth ensures no single player holds a commanding edge, reflecting trader views of broad competitiveness.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDenis Lazavik 100%
Alireza Firouzja 100%
Alexander Grischuk 100%
Aleksandar Indjic 100%
Denis Lazavik
100%
Alireza Firouzja
100%
Alexander Grischuk
100%
Aleksandar Indjic
100%
Aleksandr Shimanov
100%
Benjamin Bok
100%
Bardiya Daneshvar
100%
Cristobal Henriquez Villagra
100%
Dmitry Andreikin
100%
Dincer Tasdogen
100%
Fabiano Caruana
100%
Faustino Oro
100%
Frederik Svane
100%
Haik Martirosyan
100%
Haowen Xue
100%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
100%
Jeffery Xiong
100%
Le Tuan Minh
100%
Matthias Bluebaum
100%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
100%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
100%
Nikolas Theodorou
100%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
100%
Renato Terry Lujan
100%
Rudik Makarian
100%
Sam Sevian
100%
Shamsiddin Vokhidov
100%
Vladislav Artemiev
100%
Vincent Keymer
100%
Yoseph Theolifus Taher
100%
Zhamsaran Tsydypov
100%
Gukesh Dommaraju
100%
Ding Liren
100%
Wei Yi
100%
Vladimir Fedoseev
100%
Christopher Yoo
100%
Hikaru Nakamura
99%
Arjun Erigaisi
99%
Sina Movahed
99%
Aravindh Chithambaram
99%
Andrey Esipenko
99%
Aleksei Sarana
99%
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
99%
David Anton
99%
Dau Khuong Duy
99%
Hans Niemann
99%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
99%
Jose Martinez
99%
Jules Moussard
99%
Javokhir Sindarov
99%
Levon Aronian
99%
Nihal Sarin
99%
Oleksandr Bortnyk
99%
Parham Maghsoodloo
99%
Pranesh Munirethinam
99%
Pranav Venkatesh
99%
Rasmus Svane
99%
Sergey Sklokin
99%
Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei
99%
Volen Dyulgerov
99%
Wesley So
99%
Awonder Liang
99%
Andrew Tang
99%
Brandon Jacobson
90%
Tuomas Turunen
90%
Magnus Carlsen
29%
Denis Lazavik 100%
Alireza Firouzja 100%
Alexander Grischuk 100%
Aleksandar Indjic 100%
Denis Lazavik
100%
Alireza Firouzja
100%
Alexander Grischuk
100%
Aleksandar Indjic
100%
Aleksandr Shimanov
100%
Benjamin Bok
100%
Bardiya Daneshvar
100%
Cristobal Henriquez Villagra
100%
Dmitry Andreikin
100%
Dincer Tasdogen
100%
Fabiano Caruana
100%
Faustino Oro
100%
Frederik Svane
100%
Haik Martirosyan
100%
Haowen Xue
100%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
100%
Jeffery Xiong
100%
Le Tuan Minh
100%
Matthias Bluebaum
100%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
100%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
100%
Nikolas Theodorou
100%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
100%
Renato Terry Lujan
100%
Rudik Makarian
100%
Sam Sevian
100%
Shamsiddin Vokhidov
100%
Vladislav Artemiev
100%
Vincent Keymer
100%
Yoseph Theolifus Taher
100%
Zhamsaran Tsydypov
100%
Gukesh Dommaraju
100%
Ding Liren
100%
Wei Yi
100%
Vladimir Fedoseev
100%
Christopher Yoo
100%
Hikaru Nakamura
99%
Arjun Erigaisi
99%
Sina Movahed
99%
Aravindh Chithambaram
99%
Andrey Esipenko
99%
Aleksei Sarana
99%
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
99%
David Anton
99%
Dau Khuong Duy
99%
Hans Niemann
99%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
99%
Jose Martinez
99%
Jules Moussard
99%
Javokhir Sindarov
99%
Levon Aronian
99%
Nihal Sarin
99%
Oleksandr Bortnyk
99%
Parham Maghsoodloo
99%
Pranesh Munirethinam
99%
Pranav Venkatesh
99%
Rasmus Svane
99%
Sergey Sklokin
99%
Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei
99%
Volen Dyulgerov
99%
Wesley So
99%
Awonder Liang
99%
Andrew Tang
99%
Brandon Jacobson
90%
Tuomas Turunen
90%
Magnus Carlsen
29%
If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitzResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Source
https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitzResolver
0x69c47De9D...A deep field of over 400 titled players, including numerous grandmasters with elite blitz ratings and recent strong performances, drives the tight market consensus around 45-50% implied probabilities for dozens of contenders in the September 22 Titled Tuesday. Recent results highlight this parity, with Sina Movahed claiming the September 15 event on tiebreaks ahead of Vincent Keymer, while prior weeks saw winners like Liem Le, Hans Niemann, and Denis Lazavik emerge from similar large Swiss formats. Factors such as variable participation among top names like Magnus Carlsen, fluctuating form across events, and the inherent variance of 11-round blitz play with tiebreak resolutions keep outcomes widely distributed. This depth ensures no single player holds a commanding edge, reflecting trader views of broad competitiveness.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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