Spain leads the Euro 2028 outright market at 22.5% implied probability thanks to its status as both reigning European champions and 2026 World Cup winners, backed by a deep squad featuring Pedri, Lamine Yamal and a settled coaching setup under Luis de la Fuente. France sits close at 19.5% on the back of elite attacking depth and an expected transition to Zinedine Zidane, while England at 15.5% benefits from co-host status and a core including Jude Bellingham and Harry Kane. Germany, Portugal and the Netherlands trail within a competitive pack, reflecting Europe’s broad talent pool and the extended timeline before qualifiers intensify. The tight bunting among top sides stems from recent World Cup performances, upcoming Nations League fixtures and the absence of major roster disruptions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSpain 23%
France 20%
England 16%
Germany 10%
$63,408 Vol.
$63,408 Vol.
Albania
<1%
Andorra
<1%
Armenia
<1%
Austria
1%
Azerbaijan
<1%
Belarus
<1%
Belgium
5%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
<1%
Bulgaria
<1%
Croatia
1%
Cyprus
<1%
Czech Republic
<1%
Denmark
1%
England
16%
Estonia
<1%
Faroe Islands
<1%
Finland
<1%
France
20%
Georgia
<1%
Germany
10%
Gibraltar
6%
Greece
1%
Hungary
<1%
Iceland
<1%
Israel
9%
Italy
4%
Kazakhstan
<1%
Kosovo
<1%
Latvia
<1%
Liechtenstein
<1%
Lithuania
<1%
Luxembourg
<1%
Malta
<1%
Moldova
<1%
Montenegro
<1%
Netherlands
7%
North Macedonia
<1%
Northern Ireland
<1%
Norway
6%
Poland
1%
Portugal
10%
Republic of Ireland
<1%
Romania
<1%
Russia
<1%
San Marino
<1%
Scotland
<1%
Serbia
<1%
Slovakia
<1%
Slovenia
<1%
Spain
23%
Sweden
1%
Switzerland
2%
Turkey
1%
Ukraine
<1%
Wales
<1%
Spain 23%
France 20%
England 16%
Germany 10%
$63,408 Vol.
$63,408 Vol.
Albania
<1%
Andorra
<1%
Armenia
<1%
Austria
1%
Azerbaijan
<1%
Belarus
<1%
Belgium
5%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
<1%
Bulgaria
<1%
Croatia
1%
Cyprus
<1%
Czech Republic
<1%
Denmark
1%
England
16%
Estonia
<1%
Faroe Islands
<1%
Finland
<1%
France
20%
Georgia
<1%
Germany
10%
Gibraltar
6%
Greece
1%
Hungary
<1%
Iceland
<1%
Israel
9%
Italy
4%
Kazakhstan
<1%
Kosovo
<1%
Latvia
<1%
Liechtenstein
<1%
Lithuania
<1%
Luxembourg
<1%
Malta
<1%
Moldova
<1%
Montenegro
<1%
Netherlands
7%
North Macedonia
<1%
Northern Ireland
<1%
Norway
6%
Poland
1%
Portugal
10%
Republic of Ireland
<1%
Romania
<1%
Russia
<1%
San Marino
<1%
Scotland
<1%
Serbia
<1%
Slovakia
<1%
Slovenia
<1%
Spain
23%
Sweden
1%
Switzerland
2%
Turkey
1%
Ukraine
<1%
Wales
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed nation to win the UEFA EURO 2028 per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the UEFA EURO 2028 is cancelled, postponed after July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 20, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed nation to win the UEFA EURO 2028 per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the UEFA EURO 2028 is cancelled, postponed after July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Spain leads the Euro 2028 outright market at 22.5% implied probability thanks to its status as both reigning European champions and 2026 World Cup winners, backed by a deep squad featuring Pedri, Lamine Yamal and a settled coaching setup under Luis de la Fuente. France sits close at 19.5% on the back of elite attacking depth and an expected transition to Zinedine Zidane, while England at 15.5% benefits from co-host status and a core including Jude Bellingham and Harry Kane. Germany, Portugal and the Netherlands trail within a competitive pack, reflecting Europe’s broad talent pool and the extended timeline before qualifiers intensify. The tight bunting among top sides stems from recent World Cup performances, upcoming Nations League fixtures and the absence of major roster disruptions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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