Recent state election setbacks have intensified pressure on Chancellor Friedrich Merz and his CDU-led coalition with the SPD. On September 20 the CDU posted its worst-ever regional result in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania, falling below the 5 percent threshold and winning no seats, while the AfD took first place; similar weakness appeared in Berlin. These followed the AfD’s strong September 6 showing in Saxony-Anhalt. Merz has publicly committed to remaining in office and advancing tax, pension, health-care and bureaucracy reforms scheduled for Bundestag consideration this autumn, yet low personal approval ratings and internal speculation over a possible mid-term leadership change to figures such as Hendrik Wüst or Markus Söder continue to shape assessments of his tenure.
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October 31, 2026 rises to 18%4%
Despite heavy losses to the far-right AfD and left-wing parties in two state elections, Merz publicly committed to remain chancellor and continue reform efforts, temporarily stabilizing market expectations about his tenure.
Chancellor Merz cancels planned New York trip amid domestic political crisis
Merz canceled his trip to New York and the UN General Assembly to focus on the domestic political crisis following electoral setbacks, signaling the seriousness of the situation but also his intent to maintain leadership.




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