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icon for 2026년 8월 31일까지 푸틴이 젤렌스키를 만날 수 있을까요?

2026년 8월 31일까지 푸틴이 젤렌스키를 만날 수 있을까요?

icon for 2026년 8월 31일까지 푸틴이 젤렌스키를 만날 수 있을까요?

2026년 8월 31일까지 푸틴이 젤렌스키를 만날 수 있을까요?

8% 확률
Polymarket
신규

8% 확률
Polymarket
신규
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Volodymyr Zelenskyy between this market's creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent diplomatic outreach has kept prospects for a direct Putin-Zelenskyy meeting finely balanced ahead of the August 31, 2026 deadline. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy’s early June open letter proposed face-to-face talks and a ceasefire, yet Russian President Putin immediately dismissed the idea as premature, citing preconditions such as territorial concessions and security guarantees while rejecting any meeting without prior results. Earlier 2026 trilateral U.S.-brokered sessions in Geneva and Abu Dhabi advanced lower-level dialogue and prisoner exchanges but produced no leader-level summit. Sustained U.S. mediation pressure under the Trump administration, alongside European calls for hosted talks, sustains trader expectations of possible progress, while Russia’s insistence on battlefield advantages and Ukraine’s resistance to major concessions create offsetting risks of continued stalemate. Any breakthrough in bilateral proposals or escalation in strikes could shift the near-even implied probability in either direction before the resolution window closes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Volodymyr Zelenskyy between this market's creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$1,896
종료일
2026.08.31
마켓 개설일
Jun 18, 2026, 9:13 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Volodymyr Zelenskyy between this market's creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Volodymyr Zelenskyy between this market's creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent diplomatic outreach has kept prospects for a direct Putin-Zelenskyy meeting finely balanced ahead of the August 31, 2026 deadline. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy’s early June open letter proposed face-to-face talks and a ceasefire, yet Russian President Putin immediately dismissed the idea as premature, citing preconditions such as territorial concessions and security guarantees while rejecting any meeting without prior results. Earlier 2026 trilateral U.S.-brokered sessions in Geneva and Abu Dhabi advanced lower-level dialogue and prisoner exchanges but produced no leader-level summit. Sustained U.S. mediation pressure under the Trump administration, alongside European calls for hosted talks, sustains trader expectations of possible progress, while Russia’s insistence on battlefield advantages and Ukraine’s resistance to major concessions create offsetting risks of continued stalemate. Any breakthrough in bilateral proposals or escalation in strikes could shift the near-even implied probability in either direction before the resolution window closes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Volodymyr Zelenskyy between this market's creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$1,896
종료일
2026.08.31
마켓 개설일
Jun 18, 2026, 9:13 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Volodymyr Zelenskyy between this market's creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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자주 묻는 질문

"2026년 8월 31일까지 푸틴이 젤렌스키를 만날 수 있을까요?"은 2개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 8%의 "푸틴이 2026년 8월 31일까지 젤렌스키와 만날까요?"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 8¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 8%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

"2026년 8월 31일까지 푸틴이 젤렌스키를 만날 수 있을까요?"은 Polymarket에서 새로 생성된 마켓입니다, Jun 18, 2026에 시작됨. 초기 마켓으로서 확률을 설정하고 마켓의 초기 가격 신호를 수립하는 첫 번째 트레이더 중 하나가 될 기회입니다. 이 페이지를 북마크하여 마켓이 성장함에 따라 거래량과 거래 활동을 추적할 수도 있습니다.

"2026년 8월 31일까지 푸틴이 젤렌스키를 만날 수 있을까요?"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 2개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

이것은 완전히 열린 마켓입니다. "2026년 8월 31일까지 푸틴이 젤렌스키를 만날 수 있을까요?"의 현재 선두는 8%에 불과한 "푸틴이 2026년 8월 31일까지 젤렌스키와 만날까요?"입니다. 강한 과반을 차지하는 결과가 없어 트레이더들은 이를 매우 불확실하게 보고 있으며, 이는 독특한 거래 기회를 제공할 수 있습니다. 이 확률은 실시간으로 업데이트되므로 이 페이지를 북마크하여 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 지켜보세요.

"2026년 8월 31일까지 푸틴이 젤렌스키를 만날 수 있을까요?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.