Trader consensus prices Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) slightly ahead for third place in the September 18–20 State Duma election, mirroring May polling averages where LDPR edges Communists (KPRF) and New People at around 12–13% on party lists amid United Russia's projected dominance. Recent VCIOM and FOM surveys from early May show volatility—LDPR stable at 11–12%, KPRF dipping to 8–12%, New People fluctuating from 9–13% due to methodological differences and their vocal opposition to internet restrictions boosting urban support. LDPR faces post-Zhirinovsky leadership woes and a May 2 law barring deceased politicians' images, while KPRF's internal "People's Candidate" vote favors outspoken figures risking Kremlin blocks. Single-mandate district outcomes and administrative resource allocation could tip the tight race among these systemic opposition parties.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 33%
New People (NL) 28%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 20%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) 9%

United Russia (ER)
4%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
27%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
14%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
33%

New People (NL)
32%

Rodina
2%

Civic Platform (GP)
3%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 33%
New People (NL) 28%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 20%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) 9%

United Russia (ER)
4%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
27%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
14%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
33%

New People (NL)
32%

Rodina
2%

Civic Platform (GP)
3%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
마켓 개설일: Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) slightly ahead for third place in the September 18–20 State Duma election, mirroring May polling averages where LDPR edges Communists (KPRF) and New People at around 12–13% on party lists amid United Russia's projected dominance. Recent VCIOM and FOM surveys from early May show volatility—LDPR stable at 11–12%, KPRF dipping to 8–12%, New People fluctuating from 9–13% due to methodological differences and their vocal opposition to internet restrictions boosting urban support. LDPR faces post-Zhirinovsky leadership woes and a May 2 law barring deceased politicians' images, while KPRF's internal "People's Candidate" vote favors outspoken figures risking Kremlin blocks. Single-mandate district outcomes and administrative resource allocation could tip the tight race among these systemic opposition parties.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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