Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 94.3% for a Ukraine coup attempt by June 30, driven by the absence of any credible reports or intelligence signals of internal plots in recent weeks amid ongoing martial law and unified wartime leadership under President Zelenskyy. His approval rating rose to 62% in early March polls, bolstering political stability despite war fatigue, with the Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) having foiled prior Russia-linked schemes without escalation. Military focus remains on frontline defense against the Russian invasion, limiting domestic unrest risks, while no scheduled elections or major transitions loom before the deadline to trigger upheaval. Late-breaking scandals or battlefield shifts could alter dynamics, but current evidence points to continuity.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$12,220 거래량
$12,220 거래량
2026.06.30
$12,220 거래량
$12,220 거래량
2026.06.30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 94.3% for a Ukraine coup attempt by June 30, driven by the absence of any credible reports or intelligence signals of internal plots in recent weeks amid ongoing martial law and unified wartime leadership under President Zelenskyy. His approval rating rose to 62% in early March polls, bolstering political stability despite war fatigue, with the Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) having foiled prior Russia-linked schemes without escalation. Military focus remains on frontline defense against the Russian invasion, limiting domestic unrest risks, while no scheduled elections or major transitions loom before the deadline to trigger upheaval. Late-breaking scandals or battlefield shifts could alter dynamics, but current evidence points to continuity.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ET
거래량
$12,220종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 94.3% for a Ukraine coup attempt by June 30, driven by the absence of any credible reports or intelligence signals of internal plots in recent weeks amid ongoing martial law and unified wartime leadership under President Zelenskyy. His approval rating rose to 62% in early March polls, bolstering political stability despite war fatigue, with the Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) having foiled prior Russia-linked schemes without escalation. Military focus remains on frontline defense against the Russian invasion, limiting domestic unrest risks, while no scheduled elections or major transitions loom before the deadline to trigger upheaval. Late-breaking scandals or battlefield shifts could alter dynamics, but current evidence points to continuity.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$12,220종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 94.3% for a Ukraine coup attempt by June 30, driven by the absence of any credible reports or intelligence signals of internal plots in recent weeks amid ongoing martial law and unified wartime leadership under President Zelenskyy. His approval rating rose to 62% in early March polls, bolstering political stability despite war fatigue, with the Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) having foiled prior Russia-linked schemes without escalation. Military focus remains on frontline defense against the Russian invasion, limiting domestic unrest risks, while no scheduled elections or major transitions loom before the deadline to trigger upheaval. Late-breaking scandals or battlefield shifts could alter dynamics, but current evidence points to continuity.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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