Ukrainian officials floated plans in February 2026 for a presidential election paired with a referendum on any peace agreement, potentially as early as May, under U.S. pressure for rapid de-escalation. Those timelines collapsed after a brief U.S.-brokered ceasefire from May 9-11 fell apart amid mutual violation claims and renewed artillery exchanges along the front. Russia continues to demand territorial concessions, including full control of remaining Donbas areas, while Ukraine rejects those terms and maintains that any deal requires parliamentary or popular approval only after security guarantees are secured. No referendum date has been set, civil-society opposition remains vocal, and active hostilities persist without fresh diplomatic breakthroughs. Trader pricing therefore reflects the low likelihood that a formal vote occurs and passes before the end of 2026.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트2027년 이전에 우크라이나 평화 국민투표가 통과되었나요?
예
$14,711 거래량
$14,711 거래량
예
$14,711 거래량
$14,711 거래량
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ukrainian officials floated plans in February 2026 for a presidential election paired with a referendum on any peace agreement, potentially as early as May, under U.S. pressure for rapid de-escalation. Those timelines collapsed after a brief U.S.-brokered ceasefire from May 9-11 fell apart amid mutual violation claims and renewed artillery exchanges along the front. Russia continues to demand territorial concessions, including full control of remaining Donbas areas, while Ukraine rejects those terms and maintains that any deal requires parliamentary or popular approval only after security guarantees are secured. No referendum date has been set, civil-society opposition remains vocal, and active hostilities persist without fresh diplomatic breakthroughs. Trader pricing therefore reflects the low likelihood that a formal vote occurs and passes before the end of 2026.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문