Ukraine’s Verkhovna Rada extended martial law and general mobilization through August 2, 2026, preserving the constitutional bar on presidential elections that has remained in place since Russia’s 2022 full-scale invasion. Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s mandate continues under these wartime provisions, with parliament explicitly affirming his legitimacy and ruling out national votes until a ceasefire and security guarantees permit safe balloting. No verified resignation, impeachment proceedings, or leadership challenges have emerged, while recent diplomatic activity focuses on air defense and coalition support rather than domestic transition. Traders assign a 96.7 percent probability to his continued tenure through June 30, 2026, reflecting the structural barriers and absence of near-term political catalysts. A sudden comprehensive ceasefire or unexpected personal decision could still shift the outcome before the resolution date.