Ongoing martial law in Ukraine, extended through August 2026 with parliamentary approval, continues to bar presidential elections under the constitution, reinforcing trader consensus that Volodymyr Zelenskyy will remain in office. The most recent major diplomatic development—a U.S.-mediated three-day ceasefire and 1,000-for-1,000 prisoner exchange confirmed by Zelenskyy on May 8—has sustained active negotiations without triggering leadership changes or domestic challenges. Zelenskyy’s public statements tying any vote to prior security guarantees and a stable ceasefire align with institutional continuity, while battlefield developments such as Russian territorial gains and Ukrainian long-range strikes have not shifted internal political dynamics. These factors, combined with Zelenskyy’s sustained public role in bilateral and multilateral diplomacy, underpin the 84.5 percent implied probability that he serves through year-end.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$2,145,270 거래량
$2,145,270 거래량
예
$2,145,270 거래량
$2,145,270 거래량
An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Ongoing martial law in Ukraine, extended through August 2026 with parliamentary approval, continues to bar presidential elections under the constitution, reinforcing trader consensus that Volodymyr Zelenskyy will remain in office. The most recent major diplomatic development—a U.S.-mediated three-day ceasefire and 1,000-for-1,000 prisoner exchange confirmed by Zelenskyy on May 8—has sustained active negotiations without triggering leadership changes or domestic challenges. Zelenskyy’s public statements tying any vote to prior security guarantees and a stable ceasefire align with institutional continuity, while battlefield developments such as Russian territorial gains and Ukrainian long-range strikes have not shifted internal political dynamics. These factors, combined with Zelenskyy’s sustained public role in bilateral and multilateral diplomacy, underpin the 84.5 percent implied probability that he serves through year-end.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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