Recent diplomatic efforts, including a US-mediated three-day ceasefire in May 2026 and multiple rounds of talks in Geneva and the UAE, have produced only limited humanitarian steps such as prisoner exchanges while core disputes persist. Russian demands for Ukrainian withdrawal from Donbas and recognition of annexed territories remain non-negotiable, yet Kyiv continues to reject territorial concessions as a basis for any agreement. President Putin has signaled openness to a long-term treaty finalized by experts before any direct meeting with President Zelenskyy, but analysts note Russia's ongoing infrastructure development in occupied areas signals limited flexibility. These entrenched positions, combined with uncertainty over security guarantees, underpin trader consensus that a comprehensive peace deal is unlikely before 2027.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$571,142 거래량
$571,142 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$571,142 거래량
$571,142 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Recent diplomatic efforts, including a US-mediated three-day ceasefire in May 2026 and multiple rounds of talks in Geneva and the UAE, have produced only limited humanitarian steps such as prisoner exchanges while core disputes persist. Russian demands for Ukrainian withdrawal from Donbas and recognition of annexed territories remain non-negotiable, yet Kyiv continues to reject territorial concessions as a basis for any agreement. President Putin has signaled openness to a long-term treaty finalized by experts before any direct meeting with President Zelenskyy, but analysts note Russia's ongoing infrastructure development in occupied areas signals limited flexibility. These entrenched positions, combined with uncertainty over security guarantees, underpin trader consensus that a comprehensive peace deal is unlikely before 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Nov 5, 2025, 12:56 PM ET
거래량
$571,142종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Recent diplomatic efforts, including a US-mediated three-day ceasefire in May 2026 and multiple rounds of talks in Geneva and the UAE, have produced only limited humanitarian steps such as prisoner exchanges while core disputes persist. Russian demands for Ukrainian withdrawal from Donbas and recognition of annexed territories remain non-negotiable, yet Kyiv continues to reject territorial concessions as a basis for any agreement. President Putin has signaled openness to a long-term treaty finalized by experts before any direct meeting with President Zelenskyy, but analysts note Russia's ongoing infrastructure development in occupied areas signals limited flexibility. These entrenched positions, combined with uncertainty over security guarantees, underpin trader consensus that a comprehensive peace deal is unlikely before 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$571,142종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent diplomatic efforts, including a US-mediated three-day ceasefire in May 2026 and multiple rounds of talks in Geneva and the UAE, have produced only limited humanitarian steps such as prisoner exchanges while core disputes persist. Russian demands for Ukrainian withdrawal from Donbas and recognition of annexed territories remain non-negotiable, yet Kyiv continues to reject territorial concessions as a basis for any agreement. President Putin has signaled openness to a long-term treaty finalized by experts before any direct meeting with President Zelenskyy, but analysts note Russia's ongoing infrastructure development in occupied areas signals limited flexibility. These entrenched positions, combined with uncertainty over security guarantees, underpin trader consensus that a comprehensive peace deal is unlikely before 2027.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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