Recent developments in U.S.-Russia diplomacy, including the Kremlin’s June 9 statement ruling out near-term calls or envoy visits amid stalled Ukraine mediation, have reinforced trader consensus around no bilateral Trump-Putin meeting through year-end. Their last in-person encounter occurred in Alaska in 2025, with subsequent Budapest plans canceled and G20 invitation prospects uncertain. China’s elevated probability reflects recent Putin-Xi summits and Beijing’s role as a frequent diplomatic venue, while low odds for Russia, Gulf states, or Europe track logistical and political barriers in active conflict talks. Scheduled multilateral events like the December G20 offer limited windows but face confirmation hurdles.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트2026년 트럼프와 푸틴은 어디에서 만날까?
12월 31일까지 회담 없음 61%
China 20%
Russia 6%
Gulf country 5%
$48,275 거래량
$48,275 거래량

12월 31일까지 회담 없음
61%

China
20%

Russia
6%

Gulf country
5%

United States
5%

Turkey
2%

Belarus
2%

Switzerland
2%

Other
1%

Other EU country
1%

South Korea
1%

Ukraine
1%

Finland
1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%
12월 31일까지 회담 없음 61%
China 20%
Russia 6%
Gulf country 5%
$48,275 거래량
$48,275 거래량

12월 31일까지 회담 없음
61%

China
20%

Russia
6%

Gulf country
5%

United States
5%

Turkey
2%

Belarus
2%

Switzerland
2%

Other
1%

Other EU country
1%

South Korea
1%

Ukraine
1%

Finland
1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent developments in U.S.-Russia diplomacy, including the Kremlin’s June 9 statement ruling out near-term calls or envoy visits amid stalled Ukraine mediation, have reinforced trader consensus around no bilateral Trump-Putin meeting through year-end. Their last in-person encounter occurred in Alaska in 2025, with subsequent Budapest plans canceled and G20 invitation prospects uncertain. China’s elevated probability reflects recent Putin-Xi summits and Beijing’s role as a frequent diplomatic venue, while low odds for Russia, Gulf states, or Europe track logistical and political barriers in active conflict talks. Scheduled multilateral events like the December G20 offer limited windows but face confirmation hurdles.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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