Traders assign a 95.5% probability against Congress passing an Iran war powers resolution by June 30 because the House concurrent resolution approved on June 3 lacks binding force, while Senate procedural advances from May have not produced a final joint resolution capable of overriding a likely presidential veto. The ongoing conflict that began February 28, combined with narrow Republican majorities and competing legislative priorities, has limited momentum for rapid action in the remaining two weeks. This trader consensus reflects the procedural and political barriers that have repeatedly stalled similar measures. Late-session Senate votes or unexpected bipartisan shifts remain possible catalysts that could alter the outcome before the deadline.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$132,726 거래량
$132,726 거래량
2026.06.30
예
$132,726 거래량
$132,726 거래량
2026.06.30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.Traders assign a 95.5% probability against Congress passing an Iran war powers resolution by June 30 because the House concurrent resolution approved on June 3 lacks binding force, while Senate procedural advances from May have not produced a final joint resolution capable of overriding a likely presidential veto. The ongoing conflict that began February 28, combined with narrow Republican majorities and competing legislative priorities, has limited momentum for rapid action in the remaining two weeks. This trader consensus reflects the procedural and political barriers that have repeatedly stalled similar measures. Late-session Senate votes or unexpected bipartisan shifts remain possible catalysts that could alter the outcome before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ET
거래량
$132,726종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.Traders assign a 95.5% probability against Congress passing an Iran war powers resolution by June 30 because the House concurrent resolution approved on June 3 lacks binding force, while Senate procedural advances from May have not produced a final joint resolution capable of overriding a likely presidential veto. The ongoing conflict that began February 28, combined with narrow Republican majorities and competing legislative priorities, has limited momentum for rapid action in the remaining two weeks. This trader consensus reflects the procedural and political barriers that have repeatedly stalled similar measures. Late-session Senate votes or unexpected bipartisan shifts remain possible catalysts that could alter the outcome before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$132,726종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 95.5% probability against Congress passing an Iran war powers resolution by June 30 because the House concurrent resolution approved on June 3 lacks binding force, while Senate procedural advances from May have not produced a final joint resolution capable of overriding a likely presidential veto. The ongoing conflict that began February 28, combined with narrow Republican majorities and competing legislative priorities, has limited momentum for rapid action in the remaining two weeks. This trader consensus reflects the procedural and political barriers that have repeatedly stalled similar measures. Late-session Senate votes or unexpected bipartisan shifts remain possible catalysts that could alter the outcome before the deadline.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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