Trader consensus prices "No" at 95.4% for Nord Stream pipelines resuming gas flows before 2027, reflecting severe physical damage from the 2022 Baltic Sea sabotage—three of four lines remain inoperable—and Europe's firm policy shift away from Russian gas imports. The European Commission reiterated on May 14 its commitment to phasing out all Russian gas by 2027 under REPowerEU, dismissing recent speculation of U.S.-Russia talks raised by Foreign Minister Lavrov in March. Ongoing German and Swedish investigations, including a February Spiegel report on potential CIA foreknowledge of Ukrainian involvement, have stalled repairs amid sanctions and political toxicity. While a surprise diplomatic breakthrough like a Ukraine ceasefire or U.S.-overseen revival could shift odds, no repair permits or funding advances have materialized in over three years.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$10,541 거래량
$10,541 거래량
2026.12.31
$10,541 거래량
$10,541 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trader consensus prices "No" at 95.4% for Nord Stream pipelines resuming gas flows before 2027, reflecting severe physical damage from the 2022 Baltic Sea sabotage—three of four lines remain inoperable—and Europe's firm policy shift away from Russian gas imports. The European Commission reiterated on May 14 its commitment to phasing out all Russian gas by 2027 under REPowerEU, dismissing recent speculation of U.S.-Russia talks raised by Foreign Minister Lavrov in March. Ongoing German and Swedish investigations, including a February Spiegel report on potential CIA foreknowledge of Ukrainian involvement, have stalled repairs amid sanctions and political toxicity. While a surprise diplomatic breakthrough like a Ukraine ceasefire or U.S.-overseen revival could shift odds, no repair permits or funding advances have materialized in over three years.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Nov 5, 2025, 2:36 PM ET
거래량
$10,541종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trader consensus prices "No" at 95.4% for Nord Stream pipelines resuming gas flows before 2027, reflecting severe physical damage from the 2022 Baltic Sea sabotage—three of four lines remain inoperable—and Europe's firm policy shift away from Russian gas imports. The European Commission reiterated on May 14 its commitment to phasing out all Russian gas by 2027 under REPowerEU, dismissing recent speculation of U.S.-Russia talks raised by Foreign Minister Lavrov in March. Ongoing German and Swedish investigations, including a February Spiegel report on potential CIA foreknowledge of Ukrainian involvement, have stalled repairs amid sanctions and political toxicity. While a surprise diplomatic breakthrough like a Ukraine ceasefire or U.S.-overseen revival could shift odds, no repair permits or funding advances have materialized in over three years.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$10,541종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 95.4% for Nord Stream pipelines resuming gas flows before 2027, reflecting severe physical damage from the 2022 Baltic Sea sabotage—three of four lines remain inoperable—and Europe's firm policy shift away from Russian gas imports. The European Commission reiterated on May 14 its commitment to phasing out all Russian gas by 2027 under REPowerEU, dismissing recent speculation of U.S.-Russia talks raised by Foreign Minister Lavrov in March. Ongoing German and Swedish investigations, including a February Spiegel report on potential CIA foreknowledge of Ukrainian involvement, have stalled repairs amid sanctions and political toxicity. While a surprise diplomatic breakthrough like a Ukraine ceasefire or U.S.-overseen revival could shift odds, no repair permits or funding advances have materialized in over three years.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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