AfD holds a commanding lead in recent Mecklenburg-Vorpommern polling, with surveys from Infratest dimap and Forsa placing the party at 35–37 percent support ahead of the September 20, 2026, Landtag election, roughly ten points clear of the incumbent SPD. This gap reflects the Alternative for Germany’s entrenched strength in eastern states, where voter priorities on immigration and economic issues have consolidated behind the party while the SPD under Minister-President Manuela Schwesig has seen support erode from its prior governing majority. The remaining field remains fragmented, with the CDU, Linke, BSW, Grüne, and FDP all polling well below levels needed to mount a serious challenge or easily form alternative coalitions. Traders therefore price AfD as the clear plurality favorite at 86 percent, consistent with the party’s structural advantage in a state where no other contender has closed the gap in the past year.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
AfD 86%
SPD 14%
FDP <1%
CDU <1%
$219,938 Vol.
$219,938 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
AfD
86%
SPD
14%
FDP
<1%
CDU
<1%
Grüne
<1%
BSW
<1%
Linke
<1%
FW
<1%
AfD 86%
SPD 14%
FDP <1%
CDU <1%
$219,938 Vol.
$219,938 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
AfD
$7,942 Vol.
86%
SPD
$37,071 Vol.
14%
FDP
$50,818 Vol.
<1%
CDU
$28,594 Vol.
<1%
Grüne
$53,394 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$12,545 Vol.
<1%
Linke
$9,060 Vol.
<1%
FW
$20,514 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).AfD holds a commanding lead in recent Mecklenburg-Vorpommern polling, with surveys from Infratest dimap and Forsa placing the party at 35–37 percent support ahead of the September 20, 2026, Landtag election, roughly ten points clear of the incumbent SPD. This gap reflects the Alternative for Germany’s entrenched strength in eastern states, where voter priorities on immigration and economic issues have consolidated behind the party while the SPD under Minister-President Manuela Schwesig has seen support erode from its prior governing majority. The remaining field remains fragmented, with the CDU, Linke, BSW, Grüne, and FDP all polling well below levels needed to mount a serious challenge or easily form alternative coalitions. Traders therefore price AfD as the clear plurality favorite at 86 percent, consistent with the party’s structural advantage in a state where no other contender has closed the gap in the past year.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Market Opened: Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Volume
$219,938End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).AfD holds a commanding lead in recent Mecklenburg-Vorpommern polling, with surveys from Infratest dimap and Forsa placing the party at 35–37 percent support ahead of the September 20, 2026, Landtag election, roughly ten points clear of the incumbent SPD. This gap reflects the Alternative for Germany’s entrenched strength in eastern states, where voter priorities on immigration and economic issues have consolidated behind the party while the SPD under Minister-President Manuela Schwesig has seen support erode from its prior governing majority. The remaining field remains fragmented, with the CDU, Linke, BSW, Grüne, and FDP all polling well below levels needed to mount a serious challenge or easily form alternative coalitions. Traders therefore price AfD as the clear plurality favorite at 86 percent, consistent with the party’s structural advantage in a state where no other contender has closed the gap in the past year.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Volume
$219,938End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...AfD holds a commanding lead in recent Mecklenburg-Vorpommern polling, with surveys from Infratest dimap and Forsa placing the party at 35–37 percent support ahead of the September 20, 2026, Landtag election, roughly ten points clear of the incumbent SPD. This gap reflects the Alternative for Germany’s entrenched strength in eastern states, where voter priorities on immigration and economic issues have consolidated behind the party while the SPD under Minister-President Manuela Schwesig has seen support erode from its prior governing majority. The remaining field remains fragmented, with the CDU, Linke, BSW, Grüne, and FDP all polling well below levels needed to mount a serious challenge or easily form alternative coalitions. Traders therefore price AfD as the clear plurality favorite at 86 percent, consistent with the party’s structural advantage in a state where no other contender has closed the gap in the past year.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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