Katharina Pötter, the incumbent CDU Oberbürgermeisterin, leads the Osnabrück mayoral runoff market after securing 42.2% in the first round on September 13, ahead of Volker Bajus of the Greens at 22.3%. No candidate reached an absolute majority, triggering the September 27 runoff between the top two finishers. Pötter’s improved showing compared with her 2021 first-round result, combined with her established local record since taking office, underpins trader consensus on her strong position. Bajus and lower-polling candidates from the SPD, Linke, AfD, and FDP trail significantly, reflecting limited crossover support in the two-candidate contest. The brief campaign window before the runoff offers few remaining catalysts that could materially shift implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKatharina Pötter 87.7%
Volker Bajus 7.0%
Robert Alferink 1.0%
Oliver Hasskamp <1%
$81,486 Vol.
$81,486 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
Katharina Pötter
88%
Volker Bajus
7%
Robert Alferink
1%
Oliver Hasskamp
1%
Thorsten Wassermann
1%
Thomas Groß
<1%
Katharina Pötter 87.7%
Volker Bajus 7.0%
Robert Alferink 1.0%
Oliver Hasskamp <1%
$81,486 Vol.
$81,486 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
Katharina Pötter
$61,435 Vol.
88%
Volker Bajus
$1,621 Vol.
7%
Robert Alferink
$15,797 Vol.
1%
Oliver Hasskamp
$1,637 Vol.
1%
Thorsten Wassermann
$669 Vol.
1%
Thomas Groß
$327 Vol.
<1%
The next Osnabrück mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Osnabrück, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Osnabrück). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.Katharina Pötter, the incumbent CDU Oberbürgermeisterin, leads the Osnabrück mayoral runoff market after securing 42.2% in the first round on September 13, ahead of Volker Bajus of the Greens at 22.3%. No candidate reached an absolute majority, triggering the September 27 runoff between the top two finishers. Pötter’s improved showing compared with her 2021 first-round result, combined with her established local record since taking office, underpins trader consensus on her strong position. Bajus and lower-polling candidates from the SPD, Linke, AfD, and FDP trail significantly, reflecting limited crossover support in the two-candidate contest. The brief campaign window before the runoff offers few remaining catalysts that could materially shift implied probabilities.
The next Osnabrück mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Osnabrück, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Osnabrück). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Market Opened: Jul 24, 2026, 7:09 PM ET
Volume
$81,486End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 7:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The next Osnabrück mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Osnabrück, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Osnabrück). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.Katharina Pötter, the incumbent CDU Oberbürgermeisterin, leads the Osnabrück mayoral runoff market after securing 42.2% in the first round on September 13, ahead of Volker Bajus of the Greens at 22.3%. No candidate reached an absolute majority, triggering the September 27 runoff between the top two finishers. Pötter’s improved showing compared with her 2021 first-round result, combined with her established local record since taking office, underpins trader consensus on her strong position. Bajus and lower-polling candidates from the SPD, Linke, AfD, and FDP trail significantly, reflecting limited crossover support in the two-candidate contest. The brief campaign window before the runoff offers few remaining catalysts that could materially shift implied probabilities.
The next Osnabrück mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Osnabrück, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Osnabrück). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Volume
$81,486End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 7:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Katharina Pötter, the incumbent CDU Oberbürgermeisterin, leads the Osnabrück mayoral runoff market after securing 42.2% in the first round on September 13, ahead of Volker Bajus of the Greens at 22.3%. No candidate reached an absolute majority, triggering the September 27 runoff between the top two finishers. Pötter’s improved showing compared with her 2021 first-round result, combined with her established local record since taking office, underpins trader consensus on her strong position. Bajus and lower-polling candidates from the SPD, Linke, AfD, and FDP trail significantly, reflecting limited crossover support in the two-candidate contest. The brief campaign window before the runoff offers few remaining catalysts that could materially shift implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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