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icon for Osnabrück Mayoral Election Winner

Osnabrück Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Osnabrück Mayoral Election Winner

Osnabrück Mayoral Election Winner

Katharina Pötter 57%

Thomas Groß 39%

Thorsten Wassermann 38%

Robert Alferink 15%

Polymarket
NEW

Katharina Pötter 57%

Thomas Groß 39%

Thorsten Wassermann 38%

Robert Alferink 15%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Katharina Pötter

Katharina Pötter

$1 Vol.

57%

icon for Thomas Groß

Thomas Groß

$1 Vol.

39%

icon for Thorsten Wassermann

Thorsten Wassermann

$1 Vol.

38%

icon for Robert Alferink

Robert Alferink

$1 Vol.

15%

icon for Volker Bajus

Volker Bajus

$21 Vol.

12%

icon for Oliver Hasskamp

Oliver Hasskamp

$16 Vol.

4%

The next Osnabrück mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Osnabrück, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Osnabrück). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.Incumbent Katharina Pötter of the CDU holds a leading position in the Osnabrück Oberbürgermeister race due to established name recognition and her record since 2021, ahead of the September 13, 2026, direct election that could trigger a September 27 runoff. Multiple challengers, including SPD nominee Robert Alferink, Green candidate Volker Bajus, Die Linke’s Thomas Groß, and AfD’s Thorsten Wassermann, fragment the field and prevent any single opponent from consolidating broad support. Recent party nominations and candidate announcements have clarified the lineup without major shifts in positioning, leaving traders pricing in Pötter’s structural edge while assigning meaningful probability to a runoff or surprise contender performance in the final campaign stretch.

The next Osnabrück mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Osnabrück, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Osnabrück). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Volume
$41
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 7:09 PM ET
The next Osnabrück mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Osnabrück, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Osnabrück). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.
The next Osnabrück mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Osnabrück, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Osnabrück). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.Incumbent Katharina Pötter of the CDU holds a leading position in the Osnabrück Oberbürgermeister race due to established name recognition and her record since 2021, ahead of the September 13, 2026, direct election that could trigger a September 27 runoff. Multiple challengers, including SPD nominee Robert Alferink, Green candidate Volker Bajus, Die Linke’s Thomas Groß, and AfD’s Thorsten Wassermann, fragment the field and prevent any single opponent from consolidating broad support. Recent party nominations and candidate announcements have clarified the lineup without major shifts in positioning, leaving traders pricing in Pötter’s structural edge while assigning meaningful probability to a runoff or surprise contender performance in the final campaign stretch.

The next Osnabrück mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Osnabrück, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Osnabrück). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Volume
$41
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 7:09 PM ET
The next Osnabrück mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Osnabrück, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Osnabrück). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Osnabrück Mayoral Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Katharina Pötter" at 57%, followed by "Thomas Groß" at 39%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 57¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Osnabrück Mayoral Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 24, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Osnabrück Mayoral Election Winner," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Osnabrück Mayoral Election Winner" is "Katharina Pötter" at 57%, meaning the market assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Thomas Groß" at 39%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Osnabrück Mayoral Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.