Ulf Prange leads the Oldenburg mayoral race with a 76.5% implied probability after securing 33.2% in the September 13 first round, ahead of Jascha Rohr at 30.5%. No candidate reached the required majority, triggering a September 27 runoff between the top two. Prange, the SPD nominee and long-serving local councilor, benefits from established party infrastructure and voter familiarity following the incumbent's decision not to seek a third term. Rohr, running as a non-partisan candidate with joint backing from the CDU and Greens, drew cross-party support but trailed slightly in the initial count. The remaining seven candidates, including Heike Boldt, Sebastian Fröhlich, and several independents, received under 13% combined and hold negligible prospects. Trader consensus reflects these confirmed first-round tallies and the structural advantage for the runoff frontrunner in Germany's direct mayoral system.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUlf Prange 76%
Jascha Rohr 21%
Sebastian Fröhlich <1%
Heike Boldt <1%
$21,526 Vol.
$21,526 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
Ulf Prange
76%
Jascha Rohr
23%
Sebastian Fröhlich
<1%
Heike Boldt
<1%
Holger Martin Wilkens
<1%
Yakup Castur
<1%
Byanca Küßner
<1%
Michael Stille
<1%
Ralf Butzin
<1%
Ulf Prange 76%
Jascha Rohr 21%
Sebastian Fröhlich <1%
Heike Boldt <1%
$21,526 Vol.
$21,526 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
Ulf Prange
$8,721 Vol.
76%
Jascha Rohr
$6,288 Vol.
23%
Sebastian Fröhlich
$971 Vol.
<1%
Heike Boldt
$881 Vol.
<1%
Holger Martin Wilkens
$712 Vol.
<1%
Yakup Castur
$517 Vol.
<1%
Byanca Küßner
$1,083 Vol.
<1%
Michael Stille
$1,134 Vol.
<1%
Ralf Butzin
$1,219 Vol.
<1%
The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.Ulf Prange leads the Oldenburg mayoral race with a 76.5% implied probability after securing 33.2% in the September 13 first round, ahead of Jascha Rohr at 30.5%. No candidate reached the required majority, triggering a September 27 runoff between the top two. Prange, the SPD nominee and long-serving local councilor, benefits from established party infrastructure and voter familiarity following the incumbent's decision not to seek a third term. Rohr, running as a non-partisan candidate with joint backing from the CDU and Greens, drew cross-party support but trailed slightly in the initial count. The remaining seven candidates, including Heike Boldt, Sebastian Fröhlich, and several independents, received under 13% combined and hold negligible prospects. Trader consensus reflects these confirmed first-round tallies and the structural advantage for the runoff frontrunner in Germany's direct mayoral system.
The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Market Opened: Jul 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ET
Volume
$21,526End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.Ulf Prange leads the Oldenburg mayoral race with a 76.5% implied probability after securing 33.2% in the September 13 first round, ahead of Jascha Rohr at 30.5%. No candidate reached the required majority, triggering a September 27 runoff between the top two. Prange, the SPD nominee and long-serving local councilor, benefits from established party infrastructure and voter familiarity following the incumbent's decision not to seek a third term. Rohr, running as a non-partisan candidate with joint backing from the CDU and Greens, drew cross-party support but trailed slightly in the initial count. The remaining seven candidates, including Heike Boldt, Sebastian Fröhlich, and several independents, received under 13% combined and hold negligible prospects. Trader consensus reflects these confirmed first-round tallies and the structural advantage for the runoff frontrunner in Germany's direct mayoral system.
The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Volume
$21,526End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ulf Prange leads the Oldenburg mayoral race with a 76.5% implied probability after securing 33.2% in the September 13 first round, ahead of Jascha Rohr at 30.5%. No candidate reached the required majority, triggering a September 27 runoff between the top two. Prange, the SPD nominee and long-serving local councilor, benefits from established party infrastructure and voter familiarity following the incumbent's decision not to seek a third term. Rohr, running as a non-partisan candidate with joint backing from the CDU and Greens, drew cross-party support but trailed slightly in the initial count. The remaining seven candidates, including Heike Boldt, Sebastian Fröhlich, and several independents, received under 13% combined and hold negligible prospects. Trader consensus reflects these confirmed first-round tallies and the structural advantage for the runoff frontrunner in Germany's direct mayoral system.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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