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Elections·Global Elections

Bulgaria Presidential Election

icon for Bulgaria Presidential Election
Elections·Global Elections

Bulgaria Presidential Election

Iliana Iotova 77%

Аndrey Gyurov 21%

Nikolai Denkov 1.3%

Vassil Terziev <1%

Polymarket

$316,332 Vol.

Iliana Iotova 77%

Аndrey Gyurov 21%

Nikolai Denkov 1.3%

Vassil Terziev <1%

Polymarket

$316,332 Vol.

icon for Iliana Iotova

Iliana Iotova

$115,674 Vol.

77%

icon for Аndrey Gyurov

Аndrey Gyurov

$21,283 Vol.

21%

icon for Nikolai Denkov

Nikolai Denkov

$28,892 Vol.

1%

icon for Vassil Terziev

Vassil Terziev

$10,174 Vol.

1%

icon for Kostadin Kostadinov

Kostadin Kostadinov

$12,533 Vol.

1%

icon for Boyko Borissov

Boyko Borissov

$27,590 Vol.

1%

icon for Rosen Zhelyazkov

Rosen Zhelyazkov

$30,215 Vol.

<1%

icon for Natalia Kiselova

Natalia Kiselova

$12,081 Vol.

<1%

icon for Blagomir Kotsev

Blagomir Kotsev

$14,647 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yanaki Stoilov

Yanaki Stoilov

$11,128 Vol.

<1%

icon for Atanas Atanasov

Atanas Atanasov

$8,352 Vol.

<1%

icon for Delyan Peevski

Delyan Peevski

$7,420 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rosen Plevneliev

Rosen Plevneliev

$7,995 Vol.

<1%

icon for Krum Zarkov

Krum Zarkov

$8,348 Vol.

<1%

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).Iliana Iotova holds a dominant position in the October 25, 2026 Bulgarian presidential election due to her status as incumbent president since Rumen Radev’s January resignation, combined with formal endorsements from the Bulgarian Socialist Party and Progressive Bulgaria. Recent August polling shows roughly 50 percent public approval, supporting the market’s view of her as the clear frontrunner with an implied probability above 75 percent. Andrey Gyurov, the caretaker prime minister she appointed, emerges as the primary challenger at around 20 percent, reflecting limited opposition consolidation ahead of the vote. Other listed candidates remain marginal, consistent with fragmented support outside the major party alignments. The three-month campaign window allows limited time for shifts, though sustained government performance or unexpected opposition coordination could still influence final outcomes.

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$316,332
End Date
Nov 30, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).Iliana Iotova holds a dominant position in the October 25, 2026 Bulgarian presidential election due to her status as incumbent president since Rumen Radev’s January resignation, combined with formal endorsements from the Bulgarian Socialist Party and Progressive Bulgaria. Recent August polling shows roughly 50 percent public approval, supporting the market’s view of her as the clear frontrunner with an implied probability above 75 percent. Andrey Gyurov, the caretaker prime minister she appointed, emerges as the primary challenger at around 20 percent, reflecting limited opposition consolidation ahead of the vote. Other listed candidates remain marginal, consistent with fragmented support outside the major party alignments. The three-month campaign window allows limited time for shifts, though sustained government performance or unexpected opposition coordination could still influence final outcomes.

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$316,332
End Date
Nov 30, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Bulgaria Presidential Election" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Iliana Iotova" at 77%, followed by "Аndrey Gyurov" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 77¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 77% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Bulgaria Presidential Election" has generated $316.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Bulgaria Presidential Election," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Bulgaria Presidential Election" is "Iliana Iotova" at 77%, meaning the market assigns a 77% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Аndrey Gyurov" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Bulgaria Presidential Election" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.