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Elections·Global Elections

Bulgaria Presidential Election

icon for Bulgaria Presidential Election
Elections·Global Elections

Bulgaria Presidential Election

Iliana Iotova 60%

Nikolai Denkov 12%

Vassil Terziev 8.6%

Rosen Zhelyazkov 5%

Polymarket

$100,439 Vol.

Iliana Iotova 60%

Nikolai Denkov 12%

Vassil Terziev 8.6%

Rosen Zhelyazkov 5%

Polymarket

$100,439 Vol.

icon for Iliana Iotova

Iliana Iotova

$43,607 Vol.

60%

icon for Nikolai Denkov

Nikolai Denkov

$9,966 Vol.

12%

icon for Vassil Terziev

Vassil Terziev

$3,621 Vol.

9%

icon for Rosen Zhelyazkov

Rosen Zhelyazkov

$20,030 Vol.

5%

icon for Boyko Borissov

Boyko Borissov

$3,609 Vol.

3%

icon for Blagomir Kotsev

Blagomir Kotsev

$5,650 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kostadin Kostadinov

Kostadin Kostadinov

$2,419 Vol.

<1%

icon for Atanas Atanasov

Atanas Atanasov

$1,814 Vol.

<1%

icon for Delyan Peevski

Delyan Peevski

$1,668 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rosen Plevneliev

Rosen Plevneliev

$1,941 Vol.

<1%

icon for Krum Zarkov

Krum Zarkov

$1,926 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yanaki Stoilov

Yanaki Stoilov

$2,495 Vol.

<1%

icon for Natalia Kiselova

Natalia Kiselova

$1,692 Vol.

<1%

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).Incumbent President Iliana Iotova commands 59.5% trader consensus for Bulgaria's autumn 2026 presidential election, propelled by the April 19 snap parliamentary landslide victory of former President Rumen Radev's Progressive Bulgaria coalition, which secured a National Assembly majority and ended five years of repeated elections and instability. Iotova's May 5 mandate to Radev—now prime minister after government formation—reinforces her alignment with this dominant pro-sovereignty bloc, enhancing her path to a full term under direct election rules requiring a 50% first-round win or runoff. Nikolai Denkov trails at 12% on We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria's pro-EU reformist base, while Sofia Mayor Vassil Terziev's 8.1% reflects urban support amid fragmented opposition.

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$100,439
End Date
Nov 30, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).Incumbent President Iliana Iotova commands 59.5% trader consensus for Bulgaria's autumn 2026 presidential election, propelled by the April 19 snap parliamentary landslide victory of former President Rumen Radev's Progressive Bulgaria coalition, which secured a National Assembly majority and ended five years of repeated elections and instability. Iotova's May 5 mandate to Radev—now prime minister after government formation—reinforces her alignment with this dominant pro-sovereignty bloc, enhancing her path to a full term under direct election rules requiring a 50% first-round win or runoff. Nikolai Denkov trails at 12% on We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria's pro-EU reformist base, while Sofia Mayor Vassil Terziev's 8.1% reflects urban support amid fragmented opposition.

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$100,439
End Date
Nov 30, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Bulgaria Presidential Election" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Iliana Iotova" at 60%, followed by "Nikolai Denkov" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 60¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Bulgaria Presidential Election" has generated $100.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Bulgaria Presidential Election," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Bulgaria Presidential Election" is "Iliana Iotova" at 60%, meaning the market assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Nikolai Denkov" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Bulgaria Presidential Election" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.