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Politics·Romania

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Romania?
Politics·Romania

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Șerban Matei 17.8%

Radu Burnete 10%

Sorin Grindeanu 10%

Cătălin Predoiu 7%

Polymarket

$530,723 Vol.

Șerban Matei 17.8%

Radu Burnete 10%

Sorin Grindeanu 10%

Cătălin Predoiu 7%

Polymarket

$530,723 Vol.

icon for Șerban Matei

Șerban Matei

$13,433 Vol.

18%

icon for Radu Burnete

Radu Burnete

$14,383 Vol.

10%

icon for Sorin Grindeanu

Sorin Grindeanu

$69,271 Vol.

10%

icon for Cătălin Predoiu

Cătălin Predoiu

$63,961 Vol.

7%

icon for Anca Dragu

Anca Dragu

$19,489 Vol.

2%

icon for Alexandru Nazare

Alexandru Nazare

$4,921 Vol.

1%

icon for Alexandru Rogobete

Alexandru Rogobete

$10,529 Vol.

1%

icon for George Simion

George Simion

$12,119 Vol.

1%

icon for Ilie Bolojan

Ilie Bolojan

$56,813 Vol.

1%

icon for Dan Motreanu

Dan Motreanu

$11,069 Vol.

1%

icon for Ciprian Ciucu

Ciprian Ciucu

$919 Vol.

1%

icon for Ionuț Dumitru

Ionuț Dumitru

$18,198 Vol.

1%

icon for Delia Velculescu

Delia Velculescu

$7,732 Vol.

1%

icon for Mugur Isărescu

Mugur Isărescu

$10,581 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mircea Geoană

Mircea Geoană

$16,895 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lucian Isar

Lucian Isar

$11,756 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marcel Ciolacu

Marcel Ciolacu

$10,606 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alexandru Rafila

Alexandru Rafila

$11,692 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sebastian Burduja

Sebastian Burduja

$12,629 Vol.

<1%

icon for Elena Lasconi

Elena Lasconi

$33,875 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cătălin Drulă

Cătălin Drulă

$11,727 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vasile Dîncu

Vasile Dîncu

$10,200 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dacian Cioloș

Dacian Cioloș

$15,252 Vol.

<1%

icon for Emil Boc

Emil Boc

$11,464 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dominic Fritz

Dominic Fritz

$10,658 Vol.

<1%

icon for Raluca Turcan

Raluca Turcan

$9,511 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lucian Croitoru

Lucian Croitoru

$10,355 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nicolae Ciucă

Nicolae Ciucă

$13,983 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hunor Kelemen

Hunor Kelemen

$8,779 Vol.

<1%

icon for Calin Georgescu

Calin Georgescu

$8,733 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dragoș Pîslaru

Dragoș Pîslaru

$8,573 Vol.

<1%

icon for Traian Basescu

Traian Basescu

$615 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's recent government collapse has created a fragmented field for the next prime minister, with President Nicușor Dan preparing formal party consultations to identify a nominee able to secure parliamentary approval. The no-confidence vote that ousted Ilie Bolojan on May 5, driven by coalition fractures over austerity measures, has left major parties like PSD and PNL competing alongside smaller groups and potential technocrats for a viable majority. This uncertainty, combined with Dan's stated preference for a candidate guaranteed to pass investiture rather than experimental coalitions, explains the dispersed trader consensus reflected in current odds. Ongoing talks scheduled for the coming week could narrow the race if cross-party support emerges for any single contender, while the absence of snap elections keeps focus on internal negotiations.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$530,723
End Date
May 31, 2026
Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 1:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's recent government collapse has created a fragmented field for the next prime minister, with President Nicușor Dan preparing formal party consultations to identify a nominee able to secure parliamentary approval. The no-confidence vote that ousted Ilie Bolojan on May 5, driven by coalition fractures over austerity measures, has left major parties like PSD and PNL competing alongside smaller groups and potential technocrats for a viable majority. This uncertainty, combined with Dan's stated preference for a candidate guaranteed to pass investiture rather than experimental coalitions, explains the dispersed trader consensus reflected in current odds. Ongoing talks scheduled for the coming week could narrow the race if cross-party support emerges for any single contender, while the absence of snap elections keeps focus on internal negotiations.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$530,723
End Date
May 31, 2026
Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 1:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Prime Minister of Romania?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 32 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Șerban Matei" at 18%, followed by "Radu Burnete" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 18¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Prime Minister of Romania?" has generated $530.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Prime Minister of Romania?," browse the 32 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Prime Minister of Romania?" is "Șerban Matei" at 18%, meaning the market assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Radu Burnete" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Prime Minister of Romania?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.