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Eleições·Espanha

Presidente da Andaluzia após a eleição?

icon for Presidente da Andaluzia após a eleição?
Eleições·Espanha

Presidente da Andaluzia após a eleição?

Juanma Moreno 97.7%

María Jesús Montero 1.2%

Antonio Maíllo <1%

Manuel Gavira <1%

Polymarket

$188,677 Vol.

Juanma Moreno 97.7%

María Jesús Montero 1.2%

Antonio Maíllo <1%

Manuel Gavira <1%

Polymarket

$188,677 Vol.

icon for Juanma Moreno

Juanma Moreno

$14,719 Vol.

98%

icon for María Jesús Montero

María Jesús Montero

$11,184 Vol.

1%

icon for Manuel Gavira

Manuel Gavira

$6,370 Vol.

<1%

icon for Antonio Maíllo

Antonio Maíllo

$151,793 Vol.

1%

icon for José Ignacio García

José Ignacio García

$4,611 Vol.

<1%

Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election. This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count. If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Juanma Moreno’s commanding position in trader pricing stems from the People’s Party’s victory in the May 2026 Andalusian regional election, where his list secured the largest seat total despite falling narrowly short of an absolute majority in the 109-seat parliament. As incumbent regional president and leader of the moderate wing of the PP, Moreno benefits from established governing record and voter preference for continuity over opposition alternatives such as PSOE’s María Jesús Montero or smaller-party candidates. The resulting seat distribution leaves limited realistic paths for any other figure to assemble a governing coalition. Late shifts remain possible only through prolonged deadlock in investiture votes or unexpected realignments among Vox or left-leaning groups, though historical patterns in Spanish regional politics favor the largest party’s candidate retaining the presidency.

Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election.

This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count.

If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$188,677
Data de Término
17 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 16, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election. This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count. If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election. This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count. If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Juanma Moreno’s commanding position in trader pricing stems from the People’s Party’s victory in the May 2026 Andalusian regional election, where his list secured the largest seat total despite falling narrowly short of an absolute majority in the 109-seat parliament. As incumbent regional president and leader of the moderate wing of the PP, Moreno benefits from established governing record and voter preference for continuity over opposition alternatives such as PSOE’s María Jesús Montero or smaller-party candidates. The resulting seat distribution leaves limited realistic paths for any other figure to assemble a governing coalition. Late shifts remain possible only through prolonged deadlock in investiture votes or unexpected realignments among Vox or left-leaning groups, though historical patterns in Spanish regional politics favor the largest party’s candidate retaining the presidency.

Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election.

This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count.

If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$188,677
Data de Término
17 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 16, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election. This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count. If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Presidente da Andaluzia após a eleição?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Juanma Moreno" at 98%, followed by "María Jesús Montero" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Presidente da Andaluzia após a eleição?" has generated $188.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Presidente da Andaluzia após a eleição?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Presidente da Andaluzia após a eleição?" is "Juanma Moreno" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "María Jesús Montero" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Presidente da Andaluzia após a eleição?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.