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icon for Next Bosniak President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
Elections·Global Elections

Next Bosniak President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

icon for Next Bosniak President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
Elections·Global Elections

Next Bosniak President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Denis Bećirović 67%

Bakir Izetbegović 29%

Semir Efendić <1%

Polymarket

$53,467 Vol.

Denis Bećirović 67%

Bakir Izetbegović 29%

Semir Efendić <1%

Polymarket

$53,467 Vol.

icon for Denis Bećirović

Denis Bećirović

$29,526 Vol.

67%

icon for Bakir Izetbegović

Bakir Izetbegović

$16,369 Vol.

29%

icon for Semir Efendić

Semir Efendić

$7,572 Vol.

1%

The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Denis Bećirović holds the leading position in the Bosniak seat contest for Bosnia and Herzegovina’s tripartite Presidency ahead of the October 4 general election, supported by a broad 14-party alliance that includes the Troika coalition and smaller partners. This backing mirrors the coalition that delivered his 2022 victory over Bakir Izetbegović. Izetbegović, the SDA president and former Presidency member, secured his party’s nomination in May 2026 and draws on established SDA networks in the Federation, though the party faces a more fragmented Bosniak vote. Semir Efendić, the SBiH leader and Sarajevo municipality mayor, remains a marginal contender with limited cross-party support. Recent reader surveys and candidate declarations have reinforced Bećirović’s structural edge without major shifts in the final weeks.

The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.

If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$53,467
End Date
Apr 1, 2027
Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 7:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Denis Bećirović holds the leading position in the Bosniak seat contest for Bosnia and Herzegovina’s tripartite Presidency ahead of the October 4 general election, supported by a broad 14-party alliance that includes the Troika coalition and smaller partners. This backing mirrors the coalition that delivered his 2022 victory over Bakir Izetbegović. Izetbegović, the SDA president and former Presidency member, secured his party’s nomination in May 2026 and draws on established SDA networks in the Federation, though the party faces a more fragmented Bosniak vote. Semir Efendić, the SBiH leader and Sarajevo municipality mayor, remains a marginal contender with limited cross-party support. Recent reader surveys and candidate declarations have reinforced Bećirović’s structural edge without major shifts in the final weeks.

The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.

If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$53,467
End Date
Apr 1, 2027
Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 7:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Bosniak President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Denis Bećirović" at 67%, followed by "Bakir Izetbegović" at 29%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 67¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Bosniak President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?" has generated $53.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 12, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Bosniak President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Bosniak President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?" is "Denis Bećirović" at 67%, meaning the market assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bakir Izetbegović" at 29%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Bosniak President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.