Russia’s September 2026 State Duma elections feature official turnout targets set near 50 percent by the Presidential Administration and regional authorities, aligning closely with the 2021 result and recent VTsIOM surveys showing declared participation intentions around 62–66 percent alongside low voter awareness. Administrative tools such as three-day voting, expanded remote electronic voting in multiple regions, and mobilization of public-sector employees support efforts to meet or modestly exceed this benchmark, while independent polling and reports of subdued campaign visibility point to risks of apathy that could keep participation in the low-to-mid 50s. These competing pressures—controlled mobilization versus baseline disengagement—have kept trader probabilities clustered across the 50–56 percent bands, with separation likely to emerge from final-week turnout drives or measurable shortfalls in electronic and regional voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRussia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
53-56% 31.1%
50-53% 28%
47-50% 13%
59-62% 12.0%
$52,763 Vol.
$52,763 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
<47%
1%
47-50%
13%
50-53%
28%
53-56%
31%
56-59%
9%
59-62%
12%
62%+
10%
53-56% 31.1%
50-53% 28%
47-50% 13%
59-62% 12.0%
$52,763 Vol.
$52,763 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
<47%
$2,061 Vol.
1%
47-50%
$6,437 Vol.
13%
50-53%
$5,349 Vol.
28%
53-56%
$3,318 Vol.
31%
56-59%
$6,220 Vol.
9%
59-62%
$5,041 Vol.
12%
62%+
$24,339 Vol.
10%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.Russia’s September 2026 State Duma elections feature official turnout targets set near 50 percent by the Presidential Administration and regional authorities, aligning closely with the 2021 result and recent VTsIOM surveys showing declared participation intentions around 62–66 percent alongside low voter awareness. Administrative tools such as three-day voting, expanded remote electronic voting in multiple regions, and mobilization of public-sector employees support efforts to meet or modestly exceed this benchmark, while independent polling and reports of subdued campaign visibility point to risks of apathy that could keep participation in the low-to-mid 50s. These competing pressures—controlled mobilization versus baseline disengagement—have kept trader probabilities clustered across the 50–56 percent bands, with separation likely to emerge from final-week turnout drives or measurable shortfalls in electronic and regional voting.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Market Opened: Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
Volume
$52,763End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.Russia’s September 2026 State Duma elections feature official turnout targets set near 50 percent by the Presidential Administration and regional authorities, aligning closely with the 2021 result and recent VTsIOM surveys showing declared participation intentions around 62–66 percent alongside low voter awareness. Administrative tools such as three-day voting, expanded remote electronic voting in multiple regions, and mobilization of public-sector employees support efforts to meet or modestly exceed this benchmark, while independent polling and reports of subdued campaign visibility point to risks of apathy that could keep participation in the low-to-mid 50s. These competing pressures—controlled mobilization versus baseline disengagement—have kept trader probabilities clustered across the 50–56 percent bands, with separation likely to emerge from final-week turnout drives or measurable shortfalls in electronic and regional voting.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Volume
$52,763End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Russia’s September 2026 State Duma elections feature official turnout targets set near 50 percent by the Presidential Administration and regional authorities, aligning closely with the 2021 result and recent VTsIOM surveys showing declared participation intentions around 62–66 percent alongside low voter awareness. Administrative tools such as three-day voting, expanded remote electronic voting in multiple regions, and mobilization of public-sector employees support efforts to meet or modestly exceed this benchmark, while independent polling and reports of subdued campaign visibility point to risks of apathy that could keep participation in the low-to-mid 50s. These competing pressures—controlled mobilization versus baseline disengagement—have kept trader probabilities clustered across the 50–56 percent bands, with separation likely to emerge from final-week turnout drives or measurable shortfalls in electronic and regional voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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