Trader consensus prices 50-56% turnout highest for Russia's September 18-20, 2026, State Duma elections, closely tracking 2021's 51.7% result under the mixed single-mandate and proportional representation system, with probabilities tightly bunched due to countervailing forces. Recent Kremlin mobilization of public sector workers for United Russia primaries—targeting over 2021's low 10%—signals administrative turnout boosts, offsetting war fatigue, inflation pressures, and declining Putin approval ratings reported in early May amid economic hardships and internet restrictions. Escalation in Ukraine conflict, new mobilization announcements, or campaign endorsements could lift odds toward 62%+; conversely, deepened apathy or scandals might drive below 50%, keeping the race competitive absent fresh polls.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRussia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
50-53% 44%
53-56% 39.8%
<47% 26%
47-50% 25%
NEW
NEW
Sep 20, 2026
<47%
24%
47-50%
25%
50-53%
44%
53-56%
40%
56-59%
24%
59-62%
30%
62%+
38%
50-53% 44%
53-56% 39.8%
<47% 26%
47-50% 25%
NEW
NEW
Sep 20, 2026
<47%
$175 Vol.
24%
47-50%
$67 Vol.
25%
50-53%
$67 Vol.
44%
53-56%
$73 Vol.
40%
56-59%
$59 Vol.
24%
59-62%
$60 Vol.
30%
62%+
$62 Vol.
38%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.Trader consensus prices 50-56% turnout highest for Russia's September 18-20, 2026, State Duma elections, closely tracking 2021's 51.7% result under the mixed single-mandate and proportional representation system, with probabilities tightly bunched due to countervailing forces. Recent Kremlin mobilization of public sector workers for United Russia primaries—targeting over 2021's low 10%—signals administrative turnout boosts, offsetting war fatigue, inflation pressures, and declining Putin approval ratings reported in early May amid economic hardships and internet restrictions. Escalation in Ukraine conflict, new mobilization announcements, or campaign endorsements could lift odds toward 62%+; conversely, deepened apathy or scandals might drive below 50%, keeping the race competitive absent fresh polls.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Market Opened: Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
Volume
$564End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.Trader consensus prices 50-56% turnout highest for Russia's September 18-20, 2026, State Duma elections, closely tracking 2021's 51.7% result under the mixed single-mandate and proportional representation system, with probabilities tightly bunched due to countervailing forces. Recent Kremlin mobilization of public sector workers for United Russia primaries—targeting over 2021's low 10%—signals administrative turnout boosts, offsetting war fatigue, inflation pressures, and declining Putin approval ratings reported in early May amid economic hardships and internet restrictions. Escalation in Ukraine conflict, new mobilization announcements, or campaign endorsements could lift odds toward 62%+; conversely, deepened apathy or scandals might drive below 50%, keeping the race competitive absent fresh polls.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Volume
$564End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices 50-56% turnout highest for Russia's September 18-20, 2026, State Duma elections, closely tracking 2021's 51.7% result under the mixed single-mandate and proportional representation system, with probabilities tightly bunched due to countervailing forces. Recent Kremlin mobilization of public sector workers for United Russia primaries—targeting over 2021's low 10%—signals administrative turnout boosts, offsetting war fatigue, inflation pressures, and declining Putin approval ratings reported in early May amid economic hardships and internet restrictions. Escalation in Ukraine conflict, new mobilization announcements, or campaign endorsements could lift odds toward 62%+; conversely, deepened apathy or scandals might drive below 50%, keeping the race competitive absent fresh polls.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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