United Russia maintains overwhelming trader support ahead of the September 18–20, 2026 State Duma elections due to its position as the incumbent ruling party with extensive institutional resources, candidate registration advantages, and consistent dominance in recent regional contests. Official scheduling via presidential decree, multi-day voting procedures, and polling averages showing the party well ahead of the CPRF, LDPR, New People, and smaller groups reinforce expectations of another constitutional majority. Limited space for non-systemic opposition and ongoing legal pressures on smaller parties further consolidate this outlook. Scenarios that could still shift results include major escalations in the Ukraine conflict altering domestic priorities, sharp economic deterioration, or unusually low turnout, though these remain low-probability factors given the electoral framework.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUnited Russia (ER) 98.4%
Yabloko <1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) <1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) <1%
$3,158,331 Vol.
$3,158,331 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
United Russia (ER)
98%
Yabloko
1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
<1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
<1%
New People (NL)
<1%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
<1%
United Russia (ER) 98.4%
Yabloko <1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) <1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) <1%
$3,158,331 Vol.
$3,158,331 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
United Russia (ER)
$791,030 Vol.
98%
Yabloko
$29,948 Vol.
1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
$202,549 Vol.
<1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
$159,117 Vol.
<1%
New People (NL)
$134,643 Vol.
<1%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
$734,931 Vol.
<1%
Rodina
$502,708 Vol.
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
$603,407 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains overwhelming trader support ahead of the September 18–20, 2026 State Duma elections due to its position as the incumbent ruling party with extensive institutional resources, candidate registration advantages, and consistent dominance in recent regional contests. Official scheduling via presidential decree, multi-day voting procedures, and polling averages showing the party well ahead of the CPRF, LDPR, New People, and smaller groups reinforce expectations of another constitutional majority. Limited space for non-systemic opposition and ongoing legal pressures on smaller parties further consolidate this outlook. Scenarios that could still shift results include major escalations in the Ukraine conflict altering domestic priorities, sharp economic deterioration, or unusually low turnout, though these remain low-probability factors given the electoral framework.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Market Opened: Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Volume
$3,158,331End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains overwhelming trader support ahead of the September 18–20, 2026 State Duma elections due to its position as the incumbent ruling party with extensive institutional resources, candidate registration advantages, and consistent dominance in recent regional contests. Official scheduling via presidential decree, multi-day voting procedures, and polling averages showing the party well ahead of the CPRF, LDPR, New People, and smaller groups reinforce expectations of another constitutional majority. Limited space for non-systemic opposition and ongoing legal pressures on smaller parties further consolidate this outlook. Scenarios that could still shift results include major escalations in the Ukraine conflict altering domestic priorities, sharp economic deterioration, or unusually low turnout, though these remain low-probability factors given the electoral framework.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volume
$3,158,331End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains overwhelming trader support ahead of the September 18–20, 2026 State Duma elections due to its position as the incumbent ruling party with extensive institutional resources, candidate registration advantages, and consistent dominance in recent regional contests. Official scheduling via presidential decree, multi-day voting procedures, and polling averages showing the party well ahead of the CPRF, LDPR, New People, and smaller groups reinforce expectations of another constitutional majority. Limited space for non-systemic opposition and ongoing legal pressures on smaller parties further consolidate this outlook. Scenarios that could still shift results include major escalations in the Ukraine conflict altering domestic priorities, sharp economic deterioration, or unusually low turnout, though these remain low-probability factors given the electoral framework.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
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Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
84%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
73%
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