Skip to main content
icon for Malta Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Elections·Malta

Malta Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

icon for Malta Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Elections·Malta

Malta Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

AD+PD 54%

Momentum 32%

Imperium Europa 4.5%

Aħwa Maltin <1%

Polymarket

$42,629 Vol.

AD+PD 54%

Momentum 32%

Imperium Europa 4.5%

Aħwa Maltin <1%

Polymarket

$42,629 Vol.

icon for AD+PD

AD+PD

$13,285 Vol.

48%

icon for Momentum

Momentum

$13,080 Vol.

32%

icon for Imperium Europa

Imperium Europa

$4,053 Vol.

5%

icon for Aħwa Maltin

Aħwa Maltin

$3,659 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nationalist Party

Nationalist Party

$3,607 Vol.

<1%

icon for Labour Party

Labour Party

$4,944 Vol.

<1%

General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives (parliament of Malta) as a result of the 2026 Maltese general election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will primarily be ranked by the number of seats won. In the event of a tie, the party with the greater number of valid votes will rank higher. If a tie persists, the party whose name appears first in alphabetical order will rank higher. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election, not any coalition it may be a part of. This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).In Malta's snap parliamentary election set for May 30, trader consensus favors AD+PD at 49.5% implied probability for third-most seats due to recent polls consistently showing it ahead of rivals at 2-3.7% vote share, compared to Momentum's 2-2.1%. The April 17 cooperation agreement between ADPD and Momentum—coordinating candidates across 13 districts and encouraging preference transfers under the single transferable vote system—has heightened competition for third place behind Labour (projected 48-53%) and Nationals (43-46%), while mitigating extreme vote splitting. Early May surveys like Sagalytics underscore ADPD's slight edge, though Momentum's campaign launch and undecided voters (up to 10%) keep odds competitive amid the tight PL-PN race. Imperium Europa trails at low single digits with minimal polling traction.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives (parliament of Malta) as a result of the 2026 Maltese general election.

If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Parties will primarily be ranked by the number of seats won. In the event of a tie, the party with the greater number of valid votes will rank higher. If a tie persists, the party whose name appears first in alphabetical order will rank higher. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election, not any coalition it may be a part of.

This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).
Volume
$42,629
End Date
May 30, 2026
Market Opened
May 1, 2026, 6:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives (parliament of Malta) as a result of the 2026 Maltese general election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will primarily be ranked by the number of seats won. In the event of a tie, the party with the greater number of valid votes will rank higher. If a tie persists, the party whose name appears first in alphabetical order will rank higher. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election, not any coalition it may be a part of. This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).
General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives (parliament of Malta) as a result of the 2026 Maltese general election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will primarily be ranked by the number of seats won. In the event of a tie, the party with the greater number of valid votes will rank higher. If a tie persists, the party whose name appears first in alphabetical order will rank higher. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election, not any coalition it may be a part of. This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).In Malta's snap parliamentary election set for May 30, trader consensus favors AD+PD at 49.5% implied probability for third-most seats due to recent polls consistently showing it ahead of rivals at 2-3.7% vote share, compared to Momentum's 2-2.1%. The April 17 cooperation agreement between ADPD and Momentum—coordinating candidates across 13 districts and encouraging preference transfers under the single transferable vote system—has heightened competition for third place behind Labour (projected 48-53%) and Nationals (43-46%), while mitigating extreme vote splitting. Early May surveys like Sagalytics underscore ADPD's slight edge, though Momentum's campaign launch and undecided voters (up to 10%) keep odds competitive amid the tight PL-PN race. Imperium Europa trails at low single digits with minimal polling traction.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives (parliament of Malta) as a result of the 2026 Maltese general election.

If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Parties will primarily be ranked by the number of seats won. In the event of a tie, the party with the greater number of valid votes will rank higher. If a tie persists, the party whose name appears first in alphabetical order will rank higher. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election, not any coalition it may be a part of.

This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).
Volume
$42,629
End Date
May 30, 2026
Market Opened
May 1, 2026, 6:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives (parliament of Malta) as a result of the 2026 Maltese general election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will primarily be ranked by the number of seats won. In the event of a tie, the party with the greater number of valid votes will rank higher. If a tie persists, the party whose name appears first in alphabetical order will rank higher. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election, not any coalition it may be a part of. This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).

Related

icon for New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?

New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?

52%
icon for Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

31%
icon for Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

38%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Malta Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "AD+PD" at 48%, followed by "Momentum" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 48¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Malta Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place" has generated $42.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Malta Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Malta Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place" is "AD+PD" at 48%, meaning the market assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Momentum" at 33%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Malta Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.