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icon for 2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: 2nd Place

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: 2nd Place

icon for 2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: 2nd Place

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: 2nd Place

Reform <1%

Polymarket

$244,194 Vol.

Reform <1%

Polymarket

$244,194 Vol.

icon for Reform

Reform

$42,011 Vol.

<1%

United Kingdom local elections are scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the second-most council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils in the 2026 United Kingdom Local Elections. A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party. Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market. Parties will be ranked primarily by the number of relevant council seat elections won. In the case of a tie between two or more parties, the party whose name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group, will be ranked ahead. This market will resolve to the party that occupies second place under this ranking. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.Following the May 7, 2026, local elections across 136 English councils, devolved polls in Scotland and Wales, and six mayoral races, full results from all areas confirm Reform UK in first place with 1,453 council seats—a net gain of over 1,450—driven by voter dissatisfaction with Labour's governance on immigration and the economy. Labour suffered historic losses of nearly 1,500 seats but secured a firm second with 1,068 seats, ahead of Liberal Democrats (844) and Conservatives (801), aligning with pre-election polls showing Reform at 25-27%, Labour at 15-18%, and others trailing. Trader consensus at 100% for Labour reflects complete declarations and national vote equivalents, with only widespread recounts or data revisions posing realistic challenges to this positioning.

United Kingdom local elections are scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the second-most council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils in the 2026 United Kingdom Local Elections.

A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.

Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market.

Parties will be ranked primarily by the number of relevant council seat elections won. In the case of a tie between two or more parties, the party whose name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group, will be ranked ahead. This market will resolve to the party that occupies second place under this ranking.

Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
Volume
$244,194
End Date
May 7, 2026
Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ET
United Kingdom local elections are scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the second-most council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils in the 2026 United Kingdom Local Elections. A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party. Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market. Parties will be ranked primarily by the number of relevant council seat elections won. In the case of a tie between two or more parties, the party whose name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group, will be ranked ahead. This market will resolve to the party that occupies second place under this ranking. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.

Outcome proposed: No

Disputed

Outcome proposed: No

Disputed

Final review

United Kingdom local elections are scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the second-most council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils in the 2026 United Kingdom Local Elections. A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party. Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market. Parties will be ranked primarily by the number of relevant council seat elections won. In the case of a tie between two or more parties, the party whose name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group, will be ranked ahead. This market will resolve to the party that occupies second place under this ranking. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.Following the May 7, 2026, local elections across 136 English councils, devolved polls in Scotland and Wales, and six mayoral races, full results from all areas confirm Reform UK in first place with 1,453 council seats—a net gain of over 1,450—driven by voter dissatisfaction with Labour's governance on immigration and the economy. Labour suffered historic losses of nearly 1,500 seats but secured a firm second with 1,068 seats, ahead of Liberal Democrats (844) and Conservatives (801), aligning with pre-election polls showing Reform at 25-27%, Labour at 15-18%, and others trailing. Trader consensus at 100% for Labour reflects complete declarations and national vote equivalents, with only widespread recounts or data revisions posing realistic challenges to this positioning.

United Kingdom local elections are scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the second-most council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils in the 2026 United Kingdom Local Elections.

A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.

Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market.

Parties will be ranked primarily by the number of relevant council seat elections won. In the case of a tie between two or more parties, the party whose name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group, will be ranked ahead. This market will resolve to the party that occupies second place under this ranking.

Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
Volume
$244,194
End Date
May 7, 2026
Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ET
United Kingdom local elections are scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the second-most council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils in the 2026 United Kingdom Local Elections. A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party. Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market. Parties will be ranked primarily by the number of relevant council seat elections won. In the case of a tie between two or more parties, the party whose name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group, will be ranked ahead. This market will resolve to the party that occupies second place under this ranking. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.

Outcome proposed: No

Disputed

Outcome proposed: No

Disputed

Final review

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: 2nd Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Labour" at 100%, followed by "Reform" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: 2nd Place" has generated $244.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: 2nd Place," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: 2nd Place" is "Labour" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Reform" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: 2nd Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.