Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 100-159 posts for Elon Musk's X activity from May 15-22, reflecting his stabilized baseline of 10-15 daily engagements after stepping back from government duties, down from 2024 peaks above 20 per day. Recent dips—five posts on May 11 amid high-profile commitments, sparse May 12—yielded to a rebound with 20+ on May 13, fueled by viral commentary on culture wars and a Beijing trip aboard Air Force One with Trump. Key swing factors include trip fallout, potential Tesla or SpaceX announcements, and spontaneous political bursts, keeping odds volatile as crowds weigh routine versus event-driven spikes in this closely contested market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated120-139 19%
140-159 16%
100-119 15%
160-179 11%
$507,863 Vol.
$507,863 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
1%
60-79
3%
80-99
9%
100-119
15%
120-139
19%
140-159
16%
160-179
11%
180-199
7%
200-219
6%
220-239
4%
240-259
3%
260-279
2%
280-299
1%
300-319
1%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
120-139 19%
140-159 16%
100-119 15%
160-179 11%
$507,863 Vol.
$507,863 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
1%
60-79
3%
80-99
9%
100-119
15%
120-139
19%
140-159
16%
160-179
11%
180-199
7%
200-219
6%
220-239
4%
240-259
3%
260-279
2%
280-299
1%
300-319
1%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 100-159 posts for Elon Musk's X activity from May 15-22, reflecting his stabilized baseline of 10-15 daily engagements after stepping back from government duties, down from 2024 peaks above 20 per day. Recent dips—five posts on May 11 amid high-profile commitments, sparse May 12—yielded to a rebound with 20+ on May 13, fueled by viral commentary on culture wars and a Beijing trip aboard Air Force One with Trump. Key swing factors include trip fallout, potential Tesla or SpaceX announcements, and spontaneous political bursts, keeping odds volatile as crowds weigh routine versus event-driven spikes in this closely contested market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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