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icon for Eurovision 2026: Top 10

Eurovision 2026: Top 10

icon for Eurovision 2026: Top 10

Eurovision 2026: Top 10

$1,707,607 Vol.

May 16, 2026
Polymarket

$1,707,607 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Finland

Finland

$162,416 Vol.

98%

icon for Australia

Australia

$55,122 Vol.

93%

icon for Israel

Israel

$53,149 Vol.

90%

icon for Greece

Greece

$91,856 Vol.

87%

icon for Romania

Romania

$89,966 Vol.

83%

icon for Denmark

Denmark

$92,636 Vol.

79%

icon for Bulgaria

Bulgaria

$53,625 Vol.

67%

icon for Italy

Italy

$59,699 Vol.

66%

icon for France

France

$58,174 Vol.

63%

icon for Ukraine

Ukraine

$67,752 Vol.

62%

icon for Moldova

Moldova

$61,687 Vol.

49%

icon for Croatia

Croatia

$76,349 Vol.

37%

icon for Sweden

Sweden

$43,232 Vol.

31%

icon for Albania

Albania

$19,741 Vol.

27%

icon for Czechia

Czechia

$49,824 Vol.

25%

icon for Serbia

Serbia

$105,115 Vol.

16%

icon for Cyprus

Cyprus

$117,775 Vol.

13%

icon for Norway

Norway

$27,148 Vol.

11%

icon for Malta

Malta

$50,436 Vol.

7%

icon for Lithuania

Lithuania

$40,276 Vol.

6%

icon for Poland

Poland

$42,168 Vol.

5%

icon for Germany

Germany

$27,493 Vol.

5%

icon for United Kingdom

United Kingdom

$10,560 Vol.

5%

icon for Austria

Austria

$12,271 Vol.

3%

icon for Belgium

Belgium

$34,582 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.With Eurovision 2026 semi-finals wrapped on May 14 in Vienna—hosted by Austria after JJ's 2025 win—trader sentiment on Polymarket's Top 10 market hinges on qualifiers like frontrunners Finland, Greece, Israel, and Moldova, bolstered by stellar rehearsals and audience polls showing tight races such as Australia's Delta Goodrem edging Ireland's DARA. Big Five auto-qualifiers (France, Germany, Italy, Spain, UK) and host Austria fill the rest, but jury-televote splits and Israel's qualification amid boycott protests add volatility. Grand final running order is set for May 16; last-minute staging tweaks and diaspora voting could spark upsets in this skin-in-the-game consensus.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$1,707,607
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 5:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.With Eurovision 2026 semi-finals wrapped on May 14 in Vienna—hosted by Austria after JJ's 2025 win—trader sentiment on Polymarket's Top 10 market hinges on qualifiers like frontrunners Finland, Greece, Israel, and Moldova, bolstered by stellar rehearsals and audience polls showing tight races such as Australia's Delta Goodrem edging Ireland's DARA. Big Five auto-qualifiers (France, Germany, Italy, Spain, UK) and host Austria fill the rest, but jury-televote splits and Israel's qualification amid boycott protests add volatility. Grand final running order is set for May 16; last-minute staging tweaks and diaspora voting could spark upsets in this skin-in-the-game consensus.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$1,707,607
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 5:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision 2026: Top 10" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 98%, followed by "Australia" at 93%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision 2026: Top 10" has generated $1.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision 2026: Top 10," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision 2026: Top 10" is "Finland" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Australia" at 93%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision 2026: Top 10" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.