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icon for Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner

Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner

icon for Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner

Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner

Australia 32%

Denmark 22%

France 21%

Finland 15%

Polymarket

$2,850,575 Vol.

Australia 32%

Denmark 22%

France 21%

Finland 15%

Polymarket

$2,850,575 Vol.

Australia

$105,908 Vol.

32%

Denmark

$74,653 Vol.

22%

France

$68,045 Vol.

21%

Finland

$89,726 Vol.

15%

Czechia

$197,105 Vol.

11%

Albania

$71,052 Vol.

1%

Romania

$62,490 Vol.

1%

Ukraine

$48,683 Vol.

1%

Croatia

$59,432 Vol.

1%

Greece

$110,357 Vol.

1%

Poland

$106,466 Vol.

1%

Sweden

$139,403 Vol.

1%

Serbia

$118,690 Vol.

<1%

Malta

$151,146 Vol.

<1%

Moldova

$74,453 Vol.

<1%

Latvia

$65,550 Vol.

<1%

Israel

$95,521 Vol.

<1%

Italy

$82,110 Vol.

<1%

Cyprus

$62,528 Vol.

<1%

Bulgaria

$68,993 Vol.

<1%

Armenia

$56,701 Vol.

<1%

Lithuania

$87,655 Vol.

<1%

Luxembourg

$46,169 Vol.

<1%

Norway

$48,321 Vol.

<1%

Azerbaijan

$61,834 Vol.

<1%

Montenegro

$48,202 Vol.

<1%

Georgia

$48,963 Vol.

<1%

Austria

$101,305 Vol.

<1%

Estonia

$69,299 Vol.

<1%

Germany

$107,960 Vol.

<1%

Portugal

$42,426 Vol.

<1%

Switzerland

$96,285 Vol.

<1%

Belgium

$76,521 Vol.

<1%

San Marino

$38,951 Vol.

<1%

United Kingdom

$67,672 Vol.

<1%

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Australia's Delta Goodrem and "Eclipse" as the slim jury frontrunner at 31.5% implied probability, propelled by her vocal mastery and elegant staging that impressed in recent jury shows and rehearsals, echoing past jury favorites like sophisticated ballads. Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund follows closely with "Før vi går hjem" at 22%, buoyed by theatrical showmanship from his Melodi Grand Prix triumph, while France's 17-year-old soprano Monroe surges to 20.5% on "Regarde!"'s soaring highs and youthful charisma. Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen ("Liekinheitin") at 14.5% holds despite Semi-Final 1 qualification, but Czechia ("Crossroads") lurks as a dark horse. With Semi-Final 2 looming May 14 and dress rehearsals ahead of the May 16 Grand Final, standout live deliveries could upend this tight race.

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.

This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.

All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$2,850,575
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Australia's Delta Goodrem and "Eclipse" as the slim jury frontrunner at 31.5% implied probability, propelled by her vocal mastery and elegant staging that impressed in recent jury shows and rehearsals, echoing past jury favorites like sophisticated ballads. Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund follows closely with "Før vi går hjem" at 22%, buoyed by theatrical showmanship from his Melodi Grand Prix triumph, while France's 17-year-old soprano Monroe surges to 20.5% on "Regarde!"'s soaring highs and youthful charisma. Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen ("Liekinheitin") at 14.5% holds despite Semi-Final 1 qualification, but Czechia ("Crossroads") lurks as a dark horse. With Semi-Final 2 looming May 14 and dress rehearsals ahead of the May 16 Grand Final, standout live deliveries could upend this tight race.

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.

This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.

All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$2,850,575
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Australia" at 32%, followed by "Denmark" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 32¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner" has generated $2.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner" is "Australia" at 32%, meaning the market assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Denmark" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.