Skip to main content
icon for #1 song on Spotify this week? (May 15)

#1 song on Spotify this week? (May 15)

icon for #1 song on Spotify this week? (May 15)

#1 song on Spotify this week? (May 15)

May 15

May 15

Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber, Nicki Minaj 98.6%

Billie Jean - Michael Jackson <1%

SWIM - BTS <1%

Babydoll - Dominic Fike <1%

Polymarket

$10,520 Vol.

Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber, Nicki Minaj 98.6%

Billie Jean - Michael Jackson <1%

SWIM - BTS <1%

Babydoll - Dominic Fike <1%

Polymarket

$10,520 Vol.

Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber, Nicki Minaj

$3,912 Vol.

99%

Billie Jean - Michael Jackson

$871 Vol.

1%

SWIM - BTS

$680 Vol.

<1%

Babydoll - Dominic Fike

$733 Vol.

<1%

Risk It All - Bruno Mars

$653 Vol.

<1%

Baby - Justin Bieber, Ludacris

$631 Vol.

<1%

Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress & Zara Larsson

$732 Vol.

<1%

DAISIES - Justin Bieber

$766 Vol.

<1%

Potential - sombr

$699 Vol.

<1%

Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo

$842 Vol.

<1%

Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday. This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song globally on Spotify for the week labeled May 15. If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled May 15 by May 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The weekly top songs chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading.Justin Bieber and Nicki Minaj's 2012 hit "Beauty and a Beat" commands a 98.2% implied probability on Polymarket as the #1 song on Spotify's global weekly chart ending May 15, fueled by its unprecedented 27-day streak atop daily charts—outlasting any 2026 release—sparked by Bieber's Coachella-fueled discography resurgence in April and sustained by massive streaming surges averaging 6-7 million daily. Recent daily metrics show it leading May 13 with 6.2 million streams versus runner-up Michael Jackson's "Billie Jean" at 5.5 million, bolstered by playlist placements like Spotify's Graduation Songs amid seasonal demand. Trader consensus reflects this insurmountable momentum, though a viral TikTok explosion or coordinated fan streams for challengers like BTS's "SWIM" or Dominic Fike's "Babydoll" could theoretically produce a late-week upset before chart lock.

Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday.

This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song globally on Spotify for the week labeled May 15.

If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled May 15 by May 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The weekly top songs chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading.
Volume
$10,520
End Date
May 15, 2026
Market Opened
May 9, 2026, 5:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday. This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song globally on Spotify for the week labeled May 15. If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled May 15 by May 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The weekly top songs chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading.
Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday. This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song globally on Spotify for the week labeled May 15. If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled May 15 by May 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The weekly top songs chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading.Justin Bieber and Nicki Minaj's 2012 hit "Beauty and a Beat" commands a 98.2% implied probability on Polymarket as the #1 song on Spotify's global weekly chart ending May 15, fueled by its unprecedented 27-day streak atop daily charts—outlasting any 2026 release—sparked by Bieber's Coachella-fueled discography resurgence in April and sustained by massive streaming surges averaging 6-7 million daily. Recent daily metrics show it leading May 13 with 6.2 million streams versus runner-up Michael Jackson's "Billie Jean" at 5.5 million, bolstered by playlist placements like Spotify's Graduation Songs amid seasonal demand. Trader consensus reflects this insurmountable momentum, though a viral TikTok explosion or coordinated fan streams for challengers like BTS's "SWIM" or Dominic Fike's "Babydoll" could theoretically produce a late-week upset before chart lock.

Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday.

This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song globally on Spotify for the week labeled May 15.

If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled May 15 by May 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The weekly top songs chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading.
Volume
$10,520
End Date
May 15, 2026
Market Opened
May 9, 2026, 5:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday. This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song globally on Spotify for the week labeled May 15. If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled May 15 by May 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The weekly top songs chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading.

Related

icon for New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?

New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?

52%
icon for Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

30%
icon for Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

38%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"#1 song on Spotify this week? (May 15)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber, Nicki Minaj" at 99%, followed by "Billie Jean - Michael Jackson" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "#1 song on Spotify this week? (May 15)" has generated $10.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "#1 song on Spotify this week? (May 15)," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "#1 song on Spotify this week? (May 15)" is "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber, Nicki Minaj" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Billie Jean - Michael Jackson" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "#1 song on Spotify this week? (May 15)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.