Trader consensus implies a 91.5% probability of no hantavirus outbreak by June 30, reflecting CDC and WHO evaluations of the recent Andes virus cluster on the M/V Hondius cruise ship—limited to eight cases (six confirmed, two probable) and three deaths as of May 8—as contained through quarantine, contact tracing, and medical evacuations, with no evidence of broader human-to-human transmission beyond close shipboard contacts. Hantavirus pulmonary syndrome cases in the US remain sporadic and rodent-borne, with historical data showing under 30 annual laboratory-confirmed instances since 1993 and no 2026 surge per surveillance. Low public risk stems from rare exposure routes and absence of domestic spread; shifts could arise from confirmed secondary cases among monitored repatriated passengers or unusual rodent population booms, tracked in forthcoming CDC Health Alert Network updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHantavirus outbreak by June 30?
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?
$23,738 Vol.
$23,738 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
$23,738 Vol.
$23,738 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization (WHO) officially declares the hantavirus (or any strain or outbreak of the hantavirus) a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only a determination that the hantavirus is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus implies a 91.5% probability of no hantavirus outbreak by June 30, reflecting CDC and WHO evaluations of the recent Andes virus cluster on the M/V Hondius cruise ship—limited to eight cases (six confirmed, two probable) and three deaths as of May 8—as contained through quarantine, contact tracing, and medical evacuations, with no evidence of broader human-to-human transmission beyond close shipboard contacts. Hantavirus pulmonary syndrome cases in the US remain sporadic and rodent-borne, with historical data showing under 30 annual laboratory-confirmed instances since 1993 and no 2026 surge per surveillance. Low public risk stems from rare exposure routes and absence of domestic spread; shifts could arise from confirmed secondary cases among monitored repatriated passengers or unusual rodent population booms, tracked in forthcoming CDC Health Alert Network updates.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization (WHO) officially declares the hantavirus (or any strain or outbreak of the hantavirus) a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only a determination that the hantavirus is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only a determination that the hantavirus is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: May 11, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Volume
$23,738End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
May 11, 2026, 4:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization (WHO) officially declares the hantavirus (or any strain or outbreak of the hantavirus) a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only a determination that the hantavirus is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus implies a 91.5% probability of no hantavirus outbreak by June 30, reflecting CDC and WHO evaluations of the recent Andes virus cluster on the M/V Hondius cruise ship—limited to eight cases (six confirmed, two probable) and three deaths as of May 8—as contained through quarantine, contact tracing, and medical evacuations, with no evidence of broader human-to-human transmission beyond close shipboard contacts. Hantavirus pulmonary syndrome cases in the US remain sporadic and rodent-borne, with historical data showing under 30 annual laboratory-confirmed instances since 1993 and no 2026 surge per surveillance. Low public risk stems from rare exposure routes and absence of domestic spread; shifts could arise from confirmed secondary cases among monitored repatriated passengers or unusual rodent population booms, tracked in forthcoming CDC Health Alert Network updates.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization (WHO) officially declares the hantavirus (or any strain or outbreak of the hantavirus) a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only a determination that the hantavirus is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only a determination that the hantavirus is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$23,738End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
May 11, 2026, 4:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus implies a 91.5% probability of no hantavirus outbreak by June 30, reflecting CDC and WHO evaluations of the recent Andes virus cluster on the M/V Hondius cruise ship—limited to eight cases (six confirmed, two probable) and three deaths as of May 8—as contained through quarantine, contact tracing, and medical evacuations, with no evidence of broader human-to-human transmission beyond close shipboard contacts. Hantavirus pulmonary syndrome cases in the US remain sporadic and rodent-borne, with historical data showing under 30 annual laboratory-confirmed instances since 1993 and no 2026 surge per surveillance. Low public risk stems from rare exposure routes and absence of domestic spread; shifts could arise from confirmed secondary cases among monitored repatriated passengers or unusual rodent population booms, tracked in forthcoming CDC Health Alert Network updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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