Skip to main content

Taipei predictions & odds

·
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 14?

Highest temperature in Taipei on May 14?

51%

27°C or higher

$13.4K Vol.

$4.8K Liq.

Ends in about 16 hours

Highest temperature in Taipei on May 15?

Highest temperature in Taipei on May 15?

24%

27°C

$4.4K Vol.

$31.4K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?

Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?

2%

$616K Vol.

$560K today

$14.5K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

2%

$1M Vol.

$73.7K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

83%

Kuomintang (KMT)

$111K Vol.

$33.4K Liq.

31

Ends in 7 months

Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

10%

$30.7K Vol.

$10.5K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

11%

$2M Vol.

$31.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?

Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?

4%

$43.6K Vol.

$31.1K Liq.

7

Ends in 3 days

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

7%

$23M Vol.

$335K today

$980K Liq.

73

Ends in 8 months

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

5%

$461K Vol.

$68.9K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

2%

$8M Vol.

$52.4K today

$65.8K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

67%

$557K Vol.

$12.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

88%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$4.6K Liq.

123

Ends in about 2 months

WTT - Women's Singles: Yu-Bin Shin vs Tung-Chuan Chien

WTT - Women's Singles: Yu-Bin Shin vs Tung-Chuan Chien

Shin

$81 Vol.

$0 Liq.

What will Trump say during China State Banquet?

What will Trump say during China State Banquet?

74%

Friendship

$5.9K Vol.

$13.0K Liq.

4

Ends in about 4 hours

ITF Luan: Meng-Yi Chen vs Zijun Jiang

ITF Luan: Meng-Yi Chen vs Zijun Jiang

45%

Meng-Yi Chen

$0 Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

ITF Andong: Seungmin Park vs Sanhui Shin

ITF Andong: Seungmin Park vs Sanhui Shin

20%

Seungmin Park

$0 Vol.

$412 Liq.

Ends in 7 days

ITF Andong: Hanna Chang vs Meiqi Guo

ITF Andong: Hanna Chang vs Meiqi Guo

80%

Hanna Chang

$0 Vol.

$523 Liq.

Ends in 7 days

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

85%

Tariff

$414K Vol.

$307K today

$152K Liq.

25

Ends in 1 day

ITF Monastir: Fangran Tian vs Victoria Milovanova

ITF Monastir: Fangran Tian vs Victoria Milovanova

50%

Fangran Tian

$0 Vol.

$272 Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Taipei.

Polymarket currently hosts 104 active markets for Taipei that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Highest temperature in Taipei on May 14?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $39.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 93% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Taipei predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.