Recent polling shows tight races in both cities ahead of the November 28 local elections, with high undecided shares sustaining uncertainty across combinations. In Taipei, incumbent KMT Chiang Wan-an holds narrow leads in some surveys while DPP challenger Puma Shen has closed gaps or edged ahead in others, reflecting campaign intensity and shifting voter sentiment. In New Taipei, an open seat features DPP Su Chiao-hui holding slight edges in recent UDN and other polls against KMT Lee Shu-chuan, though margins remain within error and structural KMT advantages persist. These dynamics position KMT sweep and mixed outcomes as leading trader consensus probabilities, while the elevated "Other" share accounts for volatility from undecided voters and minor candidates. Debates and final-week mobilization could still shift results before voting.