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Votes predictions & odds

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Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?

Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?

3%

$28.2K Vol.

$12.2K Liq.

2

Ends in about 2 months

Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?

Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?

94%

Scott Wiener

$357K Vol.

$54.7K Liq.

4

Ends in 19 days

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

33%

125-130m

$7.2K Vol.

$23.0K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

36%

53-56%

$564 Vol.

$6.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

UK election called by...?

UK election called by...?

4%

June 30, 2026

$752K Vol.

$4.3K Liq.

14

New Zealand Election: Turnout

New Zealand Election: Turnout

22%

84%+

$82 Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

72%

$39.3K Vol.

$4.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner

Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner

91%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

$1M Vol.

$93.7K Liq.

8

Ends in 4 months

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

40%

Labour 5-10%

$0 Vol.

$3.1K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Andalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?

Andalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?

47%

$3.5K Vol.

$5.9K Liq.

4

Ends in 3 days

Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner

Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner

32%

LPV

$73.1K Vol.

$47.3K Liq.

6

Ends in 5 months

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

14%

May 31

$137K Vol.

$8.9K Liq.

10

Malta Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory

Malta Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory

41%

Labour Party 5-10%

$1.1K Vol.

$27.6K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Peru Senate Election Winner

Peru Senate Election Winner

100%

FP

$94.8K Vol.

$33.1K Liq.

6

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

8%

$28.9K Vol.

$12.7K Liq.

3

Ends in about 2 months

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

62%

United Russia (ER)

$8M Vol.

$99.9K today

$457K Liq.

192

Ends in 4 months

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

59%

Labour

$44 Vol.

$575 Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

41%

Likud

$2.2K Vol.

$24.1K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Peru Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

Peru Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

100%

FP

$157K Vol.

$36.3K Liq.

4

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Turnout

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Turnout

97%

70-75%

$259K Vol.

$27.6K Liq.

30

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Votes.

Polymarket currently hosts 165 active markets for Votes that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $10.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 62% chance to United Russia (ER). These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Votes predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.