Incumbent Chiang Wan-an of the Kuomintang holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for the November 28 Taipei mayoral election due to his established incumbency, approval rating above 50 percent, and stronger suitability assessments among older voters and KMT and Taiwan People’s Party supporters. Recent September polls show him statistically tied with Democratic Progressive Party nominee Puma Shen at roughly 41 percent to 40 percent, within the margin of error, yet Chiang maintains a wide advantage in expectations of victory. Minor candidates including Kuo Hsi register negligible support. Key factors sustaining the pricing include Chiang’s focus on municipal delivery, demographic patterns favoring the incumbent among voters over 50, and historical base rates for re-election in Taipei contests. Scheduled debates and final campaign weeks remain the primary near-term variables that could shift assessments.