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Keir predictions & odds

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What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

83%

Mr. Speaker 10+ times

$32.6K Vol.

$3.6K Liq.

15

Ends in 6 days

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

43%

Petro - Colombia President

$280K Vol.

$119K today

$363K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Who will Trump speak to in May?

Who will Trump speak to in May?

100%

Xi Jinping

$615K Vol.

$78.7K today

$187K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Who will Trump meet with in May?

Who will Trump meet with in May?

100%

Xi Jinping

$353K Vol.

$101K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

100%

Xi Jinping

$477K Vol.

$190K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Who will Trump publicly praise by May 31?

Who will Trump publicly praise by May 31?

88%

Elon Musk

$8.0K Vol.

$8.3K Liq.

1

Ends in 17 days

Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?

Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?

67%

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$96.0K Vol.

$70.1K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Candidates in next Labour leadership election?

Candidates in next Labour leadership election?

44%

Andy Burnham

$200 Vol.

$2.7K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by...?

70%

December 31

$24M Vol.

$1M today

$564K Liq.

1,477

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

85%

Not revealed in 2026

$13.3K Vol.

$22.1K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?

No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?

19%

$9.8K Vol.

$18.8K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

What will be said during the 2026 Sidemen Charity Match?

What will be said during the 2026 Sidemen Charity Match?

-

$29.4K Vol.

17

UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?

UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?

93%

June 30

$135K Vol.

$21.8K Liq.

55

Ends in about 2 months

Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

19%

$1.3K Vol.

$4.8K Liq.

2

Ends in about 2 months

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

57%

Labour

$44 Vol.

$665 Liq.

Ends in 6 months

NZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?

NZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?

34%

40-44

$480 Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

29%

No Next PM in 2026

$6M Vol.

$320K today

$920K Liq.

81

Ends in 8 months

ITF Kurume: Kisa Yoshioka vs Lizette Cabrera

ITF Kurume: Kisa Yoshioka vs Lizette Cabrera

79%

Lizette Cabrera

$301 Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

ITF Reggio Emilia: Fabrizio Andaloro vs Massimo Giunta

ITF Reggio Emilia: Fabrizio Andaloro vs Massimo Giunta

58%

Massimo Giunta

$0 Vol.

$725 Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Women's T20 World Cup Qualifier: Scotland Women vs Zimbabwe Women - Team Top Batter

Women's T20 World Cup Qualifier: Scotland Women vs Zimbabwe Women - Team Top Batter

-

$251 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Keir.

Polymarket currently hosts 113 active markets for Keir that lets you track or trade on predictions like “What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $31.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Starmer out by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Starmer out by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 70% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Keir predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.