**Elon Musk’s established posting pace on X—typically 20–30 tweets per day in recent comparable periods—anchors trader expectations for the June 29–July 1 window.** Comparable seven-day markets earlier in June resolved in the 160–199 range, reflecting daily averages near 25 tweets amid routine engagement with news, replies, and commentary. The three-day span therefore clusters probability around 40–89 tweets, with the 40–64 bracket (47.5%) edging out 65–89 (32.5%) as the modal outcome. Lower ranges (<40) sit at 11.5% while higher brackets remain thin, consistent with the absence of any major catalyst—such as a product launch, regulatory hearing, or viral controversy—that would materially lift or suppress volume. Weekend patterns have historically shown modest variation rather than sharp spikes, reinforcing the current market-implied distribution based on sustained, real-capital-backed assessment of his activity.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật40-64 50%
65-89 31%
<40 12%
90-114 5.1%
MỚI
$19,106 KL.
MỚI
$19,106 KL.
Jul 1, 2026
<40
12%
40-64
50%
65-89
31%
90-114
5%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 50%
65-89 31%
<40 12%
90-114 5.1%
MỚI
$19,106 KL.
MỚI
$19,106 KL.
Jul 1, 2026
<40
$828 KL.
12%
40-64
$454 KL.
50%
65-89
$109 KL.
31%
90-114
$535 KL.
5%
115-139
$409 KL.
1%
140-164
$1,218 KL.
<1%
165-189
$1,191 KL.
<1%
190-214
$3,615 KL.
<1%
215-239
$5,140 KL.
<1%
240+
$5,606 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 29 12:00 PM ET to July 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Elon Musk’s established posting pace on X—typically 20–30 tweets per day in recent comparable periods—anchors trader expectations for the June 29–July 1 window.**
Comparable seven-day markets earlier in June resolved in the 160–199 range, reflecting daily averages near 25 tweets amid routine engagement with news, replies, and commentary. The three-day span therefore clusters probability around 40–89 tweets, with the 40–64 bracket (47.5%) edging out 65–89 (32.5%) as the modal outcome.
Lower ranges (<40) sit at 11.5% while higher brackets remain thin, consistent with the absence of any major catalyst—such as a product launch, regulatory hearing, or viral controversy—that would materially lift or suppress volume. Weekend patterns have historically shown modest variation rather than sharp spikes, reinforcing the current market-implied distribution based on sustained, real-capital-backed assessment of his activity.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 29 12:00 PM ET to July 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: Jun 27, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Khối lượng
$19,106Ngày kết thúc
Jul 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 27, 2026, 12:01 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 29 12:00 PM ET to July 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Elon Musk’s established posting pace on X—typically 20–30 tweets per day in recent comparable periods—anchors trader expectations for the June 29–July 1 window.**
Comparable seven-day markets earlier in June resolved in the 160–199 range, reflecting daily averages near 25 tweets amid routine engagement with news, replies, and commentary. The three-day span therefore clusters probability around 40–89 tweets, with the 40–64 bracket (47.5%) edging out 65–89 (32.5%) as the modal outcome.
Lower ranges (<40) sit at 11.5% while higher brackets remain thin, consistent with the absence of any major catalyst—such as a product launch, regulatory hearing, or viral controversy—that would materially lift or suppress volume. Weekend patterns have historically shown modest variation rather than sharp spikes, reinforcing the current market-implied distribution based on sustained, real-capital-backed assessment of his activity.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 29 12:00 PM ET to July 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Khối lượng
$19,106Ngày kết thúc
Jul 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 27, 2026, 12:01 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Elon Musk’s established posting pace on X—typically 20–30 tweets per day in recent comparable periods—anchors trader expectations for the June 29–July 1 window.** Comparable seven-day markets earlier in June resolved in the 160–199 range, reflecting daily averages near 25 tweets amid routine engagement with news, replies, and commentary. The three-day span therefore clusters probability around 40–89 tweets, with the 40–64 bracket (47.5%) edging out 65–89 (32.5%) as the modal outcome. Lower ranges (<40) sit at 11.5% while higher brackets remain thin, consistent with the absence of any major catalyst—such as a product launch, regulatory hearing, or viral controversy—that would materially lift or suppress volume. Weekend patterns have historically shown modest variation rather than sharp spikes, reinforcing the current market-implied distribution based on sustained, real-capital-backed assessment of his activity.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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