Amid the ongoing 2026 US-Iran conflict, triggered by late February joint US-Israeli airstrikes and escalated by naval tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, no US congressional members or Trump administration figures like Marco Rubio, Jared Kushner, or Pete Hegseth have entered Iranian territory, anchoring trader consensus toward low probabilities for such developments by June 30. Iranian armed forces declared highest readiness levels on May 13 as a fragile ceasefire teeters, while Senate Democrats' seventh resolution to limit operations and withdraw forces was blocked by Republicans, highlighting domestic political divides. Absent diplomatic breakthroughs or de-escalation signals, high security risks and lack of normalization talks maintain significant barriers, though potential negotiations could shift sentiment ahead of the deadline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$387,411 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Any U.S. House member
5%
Any U.S. Senator
3%
Jared Kushner
2%
Marco Rubio
2%
Pete Hegseth
2%
JD Vance
2%
Benjamin Netanyahu
1%
Donald Trump
<1%
$387,411 Vol.
Any U.S. House member
$86,747 Vol.
5%
Any U.S. Senator
$29,990 Vol.
3%
Jared Kushner
$15,604 Vol.
2%
Marco Rubio
$21,470 Vol.
2%
Pete Hegseth
$92,649 Vol.
2%
JD Vance
$30,931 Vol.
2%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$42,282 Vol.
1%
Donald Trump
$67,738 Vol.
<1%
If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid the ongoing 2026 US-Iran conflict, triggered by late February joint US-Israeli airstrikes and escalated by naval tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, no US congressional members or Trump administration figures like Marco Rubio, Jared Kushner, or Pete Hegseth have entered Iranian territory, anchoring trader consensus toward low probabilities for such developments by June 30. Iranian armed forces declared highest readiness levels on May 13 as a fragile ceasefire teeters, while Senate Democrats' seventh resolution to limit operations and withdraw forces was blocked by Republicans, highlighting domestic political divides. Absent diplomatic breakthroughs or de-escalation signals, high security risks and lack of normalization talks maintain significant barriers, though potential negotiations could shift sentiment ahead of the deadline.
If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Mar 1, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
Volume
$387,411End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 1, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid the ongoing 2026 US-Iran conflict, triggered by late February joint US-Israeli airstrikes and escalated by naval tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, no US congressional members or Trump administration figures like Marco Rubio, Jared Kushner, or Pete Hegseth have entered Iranian territory, anchoring trader consensus toward low probabilities for such developments by June 30. Iranian armed forces declared highest readiness levels on May 13 as a fragile ceasefire teeters, while Senate Democrats' seventh resolution to limit operations and withdraw forces was blocked by Republicans, highlighting domestic political divides. Absent diplomatic breakthroughs or de-escalation signals, high security risks and lack of normalization talks maintain significant barriers, though potential negotiations could shift sentiment ahead of the deadline.
If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$387,411End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 1, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid the ongoing 2026 US-Iran conflict, triggered by late February joint US-Israeli airstrikes and escalated by naval tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, no US congressional members or Trump administration figures like Marco Rubio, Jared Kushner, or Pete Hegseth have entered Iranian territory, anchoring trader consensus toward low probabilities for such developments by June 30. Iranian armed forces declared highest readiness levels on May 13 as a fragile ceasefire teeters, while Senate Democrats' seventh resolution to limit operations and withdraw forces was blocked by Republicans, highlighting domestic political divides. Absent diplomatic breakthroughs or de-escalation signals, high security risks and lack of normalization talks maintain significant barriers, though potential negotiations could shift sentiment ahead of the deadline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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