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PM predictions & odds

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Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

18%

December 31, 2026

$159K Vol.

$31.1K Liq.

38

Ends in 8 months

Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

99%

December 31

$387K Vol.

$75.0K Liq.

106

Ends in 8 months

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

49%

$1.0K Vol.

$350 Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

30%

December 31, 2026

$321K Vol.

$4.9K Liq.

112

Ends in 8 months

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

50%

$119 Vol.

$652 Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (May 11 - 16)

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (May 11 - 16)

97%

May 13

$5.9K Vol.

$7.0K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

In which month will SpaceX IPO?

In which month will SpaceX IPO?

68%

June

$335K Vol.

$26.2K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

24%

No Next PM in 2026

$6M Vol.

$271K today

$760K Liq.

78

Ends in 8 months

Next Prime Minister of Slovenia

Next Prime Minister of Slovenia

92%

Janez Janša

$3M Vol.

$181K Liq.

180

Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?

57%

Independent/Technocrat

$13.9K Vol.

$61.0K Liq.

2

Ends in about 2 months

Next Prime Minister of Denmark?

Next Prime Minister of Denmark?

73%

Mette Frederiksen

$8M Vol.

$169K Liq.

169

Next Prime Minister of Malta

Next Prime Minister of Malta

91%

Robert Abela

$110K Vol.

$103K Liq.

3

Ends in 16 days

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

22%

Radu Burnete

$342K Vol.

$290K Liq.

15

Ends in 17 days

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

41%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$8M Vol.

$127K today

$842K Liq.

245

Ends in 8 months

Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by...?

78%

December 31

$23M Vol.

$2M today

$411K Liq.

1,454

Zelenskyy # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

63%

80-99

$29.3K Vol.

$28.4K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

44%

December 31

$120M Vol.

$187K Liq.

34

Ends in 8 months

White House # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

White House # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

59%

180-199

$59.3K Vol.

$28.4K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

43%

Petro - Colombia President

$278K Vol.

$155K today

$276K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

13%

$302K Vol.

$41.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like PM.

Polymarket currently hosts 2172 active markets for PM that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $171.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Netanyahu out by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Netanyahu out by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 44% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on PM predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.