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Prime Minister predictions & odds

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Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

29%

No Next PM in 2026

$6M Vol.

$322K today

$919K Liq.

81

Ends in 8 months

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

41%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$8M Vol.

$148K today

$848K Liq.

247

Ends in 8 months

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

16%

Radu Burnete

$359K Vol.

$323K Liq.

15

Ends in 17 days

Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?

46%

Independent/Technocrat

$14.0K Vol.

$74.1K Liq.

2

Ends in about 2 months

Next Prime Minister of Denmark?

Next Prime Minister of Denmark?

73%

Mette Frederiksen

$8M Vol.

$174K Liq.

169

Next Prime Minister of Slovenia

Next Prime Minister of Slovenia

92%

Janez Janša

$3M Vol.

$182K Liq.

180

Next Prime Minister of Malta

Next Prime Minister of Malta

91%

Robert Abela

$110K Vol.

$112K Liq.

3

Ends in 16 days

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

65%

Magdalena Andersson

$2M Vol.

$197K Liq.

9

Ends in 4 months

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

98%

Abiy Ahmed

$10.2K Vol.

$93.5K Liq.

1

Ends in 18 days

Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?

Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?

14%

$15.1K Vol.

$17.2K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?

54%

$5.0K Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?

Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?

4%

$53.4K Vol.

$17.5K Liq.

24

Ends in about 2 months

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

43%

Giorgia Meloni

$14.3K Vol.

$59.6K Liq.

8

Ends in over 2 years

Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by...?

Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by...?

7%

June 30

$12.4K Vol.

$12.5K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?

Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?

46%

Christopher Luxon

$3.1K Vol.

$9.2K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?

Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?

94%

$151K Vol.

$13.7K Liq.

33

Ends in 8 months

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

83%

Mr. Speaker 10+ times

$32.6K Vol.

$3.7K Liq.

15

Ends in 6 days

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

18%

December 31, 2026

$159K Vol.

$34.2K Liq.

38

Ends in 8 months

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

30%

December 31, 2026

$321K Vol.

$5.3K Liq.

112

Ends in 8 months

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

50%

$119 Vol.

$900 Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Prime Minister.

Polymarket currently hosts 124 active markets for Prime Minister that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $29.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 41% chance to Benjamin Netanyahu. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Prime Minister predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.