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icon for Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by...?

Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by...?

icon for Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by...?

Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by...?

$12,470 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$12,470 Vol.

Polymarket

June 30

$5,309 Vol.

3%

December 31

$7,161 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthony Albanese ceases to be the Prime Minister of Australia for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Anthony Albanese's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Australian government and Anthony Albanese; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthony Albanese ceases to be the Prime Minister of Australia for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Anthony Albanese's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Australian government and Anthony Albanese; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anthony Albanese secured a decisive second term for Labor in the May 2025 federal election, expanding the party's House majority to 94 seats and strengthening his position against internal or external challenges. The next election must be called by May 2028, leaving limited constitutional windows for a change in prime minister through resignation, leadership spill, or loss of confidence before then. Recent focus has centered on the May 2026 federal budget's reforms to negative gearing and capital gains tax discounts aimed at boosting housing supply, which drew opposition criticism but aligned with Labor's campaign emphasis on intergenerational fairness. Polling aggregates continue to show Labor ahead on a two-party preferred basis, while no formal leadership contest or major party revolt has surfaced in the caucus. Scheduled parliamentary sittings and potential Senate negotiations on budget measures remain the nearest catalysts that could influence stability assessments.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthony Albanese ceases to be the Prime Minister of Australia for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Anthony Albanese's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Australian government and Anthony Albanese; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$12,470
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthony Albanese ceases to be the Prime Minister of Australia for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Anthony Albanese's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Australian government and Anthony Albanese; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthony Albanese ceases to be the Prime Minister of Australia for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Anthony Albanese's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Australian government and Anthony Albanese; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthony Albanese ceases to be the Prime Minister of Australia for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Anthony Albanese's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Australian government and Anthony Albanese; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anthony Albanese secured a decisive second term for Labor in the May 2025 federal election, expanding the party's House majority to 94 seats and strengthening his position against internal or external challenges. The next election must be called by May 2028, leaving limited constitutional windows for a change in prime minister through resignation, leadership spill, or loss of confidence before then. Recent focus has centered on the May 2026 federal budget's reforms to negative gearing and capital gains tax discounts aimed at boosting housing supply, which drew opposition criticism but aligned with Labor's campaign emphasis on intergenerational fairness. Polling aggregates continue to show Labor ahead on a two-party preferred basis, while no formal leadership contest or major party revolt has surfaced in the caucus. Scheduled parliamentary sittings and potential Senate negotiations on budget measures remain the nearest catalysts that could influence stability assessments.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthony Albanese ceases to be the Prime Minister of Australia for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Anthony Albanese's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Australian government and Anthony Albanese; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$12,470
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthony Albanese ceases to be the Prime Minister of Australia for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Anthony Albanese's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Australian government and Anthony Albanese; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by...? " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31" at 6%, followed by "June 30" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 6¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 6% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by...? " has generated $12.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by...? ," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by...? " is "December 31" at just 6%, with "June 30" close behind at 3%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by...? " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.