Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in Goiás first-round polling, most recently at 38% in an AtlasIntel survey from early September, well ahead of Lula and local figure Ronaldo Caiado. This positioning stems from sustained Liberal Party organizing in the state, including pre-candidacy launches and alliances with PL and Novo figures ahead of the October 4 vote. Goiás voters have shown consistent preference for the Bolsonaro-aligned ticket amid national polarization over security, economy, and institutional issues. Caiado’s PSD bid and other minor candidates face structural hurdles in consolidating right-leaning support. Late shifts remain possible if turnout patterns or last-minute events alter the state’s electorate before first-round resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFlavio Bolsonaro 93%
Ronaldo Caiado 5.6%
Lula 1.8%
Clariana Barao <1%
$55,274 Vol.
$55,274 Vol.
Jun 30, 2027
Flavio Bolsonaro
93%
Ronaldo Caiado
6%
Lula
2%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Samara
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Zema
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 93%
Ronaldo Caiado 5.6%
Lula 1.8%
Clariana Barao <1%
$55,274 Vol.
$55,274 Vol.
Jun 30, 2027
Flavio Bolsonaro
$27,012 Vol.
93%
Ronaldo Caiado
$14,898 Vol.
6%
Lula
$6,934 Vol.
2%
Clariana Barao
$469 Vol.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$458 Vol.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$494 Vol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$519 Vol.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$2,154 Vol.
<1%
Renan Santos
$570 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$385 Vol.
<1%
Samara
$398 Vol.
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$537 Vol.
<1%
Zema
$444 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Goiás, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Goiás.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Goiás. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in Goiás first-round polling, most recently at 38% in an AtlasIntel survey from early September, well ahead of Lula and local figure Ronaldo Caiado. This positioning stems from sustained Liberal Party organizing in the state, including pre-candidacy launches and alliances with PL and Novo figures ahead of the October 4 vote. Goiás voters have shown consistent preference for the Bolsonaro-aligned ticket amid national polarization over security, economy, and institutional issues. Caiado’s PSD bid and other minor candidates face structural hurdles in consolidating right-leaning support. Late shifts remain possible if turnout patterns or last-minute events alter the state’s electorate before first-round resolution.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Goiás, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Goiás.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Goiás. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Goiás.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Goiás. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:30 AM ET
Volume
$55,274End Date
Jul 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Goiás, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Goiás.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Goiás. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in Goiás first-round polling, most recently at 38% in an AtlasIntel survey from early September, well ahead of Lula and local figure Ronaldo Caiado. This positioning stems from sustained Liberal Party organizing in the state, including pre-candidacy launches and alliances with PL and Novo figures ahead of the October 4 vote. Goiás voters have shown consistent preference for the Bolsonaro-aligned ticket amid national polarization over security, economy, and institutional issues. Caiado’s PSD bid and other minor candidates face structural hurdles in consolidating right-leaning support. Late shifts remain possible if turnout patterns or last-minute events alter the state’s electorate before first-round resolution.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Goiás, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Goiás.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Goiás. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Goiás.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Goiás. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$55,274End Date
Jul 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in Goiás first-round polling, most recently at 38% in an AtlasIntel survey from early September, well ahead of Lula and local figure Ronaldo Caiado. This positioning stems from sustained Liberal Party organizing in the state, including pre-candidacy launches and alliances with PL and Novo figures ahead of the October 4 vote. Goiás voters have shown consistent preference for the Bolsonaro-aligned ticket amid national polarization over security, economy, and institutional issues. Caiado’s PSD bid and other minor candidates face structural hurdles in consolidating right-leaning support. Late shifts remain possible if turnout patterns or last-minute events alter the state’s electorate before first-round resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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