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Elecciones·Brasil

Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Río de Janeiro

icon for Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Río de Janeiro
Elecciones·Brasil

Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Río de Janeiro

Chico Machado 22%

Nicola Miccione 18%

Fred Pacheco 14.5%

Eduardo Pazuello 13%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Chico Machado 22%

Nicola Miccione 18%

Fred Pacheco 14.5%

Eduardo Pazuello 13%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Chico Machado

$243 Vol.

22%

Nicola Miccione

$165 Vol.

18%

Fred Pacheco

$217 Vol.

15%

Eduardo Pazuello

$56 Vol.

13%

Felipe Curi

$1,520 Vol.

11%

André Português

$192 Vol.

10%

Anthony Garotinho

$1,100 Vol.

8%

Tarcísio Motta

$192 Vol.

6%

Lindbergh Farias

$142 Vol.

5%

André Ceciliano

$2,618 Vol.

5%

Wilson Witzel

$242 Vol.

4%

Dr. Luizinho

$2,022 Vol.

2%

The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The crowded field of declared and exploratory candidates for the October 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election has kept trader pricing tightly clustered near even odds for multiple options, reflecting persistent uncertainty over coalition formation and voter consolidation ahead of party conventions. Recent state-level shifts, including the resignation of the prior governor and the interim administration’s approval ratings, have not yet produced a decisive frontrunner in market-implied probabilities. Lower-priced names such as Chico Machado, Nicola Miccione, Fred Pacheco, and Eduardo Pazuello indicate limited early momentum, while broader fragmentation across left, center, and right-leaning contenders sustains the close positioning. Scheduled convention deadlines and any major endorsements or polling shifts in the coming months could alter the balance by clarifying viable paths to a first-round or runoff plurality.

The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$8,707
Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The crowded field of declared and exploratory candidates for the October 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election has kept trader pricing tightly clustered near even odds for multiple options, reflecting persistent uncertainty over coalition formation and voter consolidation ahead of party conventions. Recent state-level shifts, including the resignation of the prior governor and the interim administration’s approval ratings, have not yet produced a decisive frontrunner in market-implied probabilities. Lower-priced names such as Chico Machado, Nicola Miccione, Fred Pacheco, and Eduardo Pazuello indicate limited early momentum, while broader fragmentation across left, center, and right-leaning contenders sustains the close positioning. Scheduled convention deadlines and any major endorsements or polling shifts in the coming months could alter the balance by clarifying viable paths to a first-round or runoff plurality.

The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$8,707
Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Río de Janeiro" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 12 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Chico Machado" con 22%, seguido de "Nicola Miccione" con 18%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 22¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 22% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Río de Janeiro" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jun 10, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Río de Janeiro", explora los 12 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Río de Janeiro" es "Chico Machado" con 22%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 22% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Nicola Miccione" con 18%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Río de Janeiro" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.