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icon for Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner
Politics·Brazil

Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner

icon for Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner
Politics·Brazil

Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner

Jorginho Mello 97.6%

Marcelo Brigadeiro 1.9%

João Rodrigues <1%

Gelson Merisio <1%

Polymarket

$125,161 Vol.

Jorginho Mello 97.6%

Marcelo Brigadeiro 1.9%

João Rodrigues <1%

Gelson Merisio <1%

Polymarket

$125,161 Vol.

icon for Jorginho Mello

Jorginho Mello

$31,111 Vol.

98%

icon for Marcelo Brigadeiro

Marcelo Brigadeiro

$16,041 Vol.

2%

icon for João Rodrigues

João Rodrigues

$3,040 Vol.

1%

icon for Gelson Merisio

Gelson Merisio

$3,128 Vol.

1%

icon for Décio Lima

Décio Lima

$64,425 Vol.

<1%

icon for Afrânio Boppré

Afrânio Boppré

$2,765 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marcos Vieira

Marcos Vieira

$2,478 Vol.

<1%

icon for Adriano Silva

Adriano Silva

$2,175 Vol.

<1%

The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jorginho Mello, the incumbent governor of Santa Catarina running for reelection with the Liberal Party, holds a commanding lead in the October 4, 2026, gubernatorial race according to recent polling. Surveys from mid-to-late September show him at 49-66% in first-round scenarios, well ahead of challengers including João Rodrigues (PSD) and Gelson Merísio (PSB). His position stems from strong incumbency performance since winning the 2022 runoff, consistent campaign outreach to business groups such as Fiesc and Facisc, agronegócio leaders, and other constituencies, plus a formal commitment against tax increases. Official party launch in August and alignment with broader right-leaning coalitions have reinforced trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. A first-round victory remains the most likely path, though late developments such as shifts in turnout or unforeseen events could still influence the final outcome before voting concludes.

The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$125,161
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jorginho Mello, the incumbent governor of Santa Catarina running for reelection with the Liberal Party, holds a commanding lead in the October 4, 2026, gubernatorial race according to recent polling. Surveys from mid-to-late September show him at 49-66% in first-round scenarios, well ahead of challengers including João Rodrigues (PSD) and Gelson Merísio (PSB). His position stems from strong incumbency performance since winning the 2022 runoff, consistent campaign outreach to business groups such as Fiesc and Facisc, agronegócio leaders, and other constituencies, plus a formal commitment against tax increases. Official party launch in August and alignment with broader right-leaning coalitions have reinforced trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. A first-round victory remains the most likely path, though late developments such as shifts in turnout or unforeseen events could still influence the final outcome before voting concludes.

The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$125,161
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jorginho Mello" at 98%, followed by "Marcelo Brigadeiro" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner" has generated $125.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner" is "Jorginho Mello" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Marcelo Brigadeiro" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.