In the Maranhão Senate race for first place, trader consensus reflects a highly fragmented field where no candidate holds a clear edge, with multiple pre-candidates clustered in recent polling around 10-14% amid substantial undecided and null votes. Incumbents Weverton Rocha and Eliziane Gama face challenges from established figures including Roseana Sarney, whose July 2026 pre-candidacy announcement added momentum to the MDB, alongside Lahesio Bonfim, André Fufuca, and others backed by parties such as PL, PP, and NOVO. Local political dynamics, including shifting alliances, regional voter bases in a state with strong family and party traditions, and the dual-seat structure keep the contest open. Further August polling releases, formal party conventions, or coalition announcements could consolidate support and widen gaps before the October vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEnilton Rodrigues 44%
Lahesio Bonfim 44%
Fufuca 44%
Raimundo Moreira 44%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Enilton Rodrigues
44%
Lahesio Bonfim
44%
Fufuca
44%
Raimundo Moreira
44%
Roseana Sarney
44%
Simplício Araújo
44%
Weverton Rocha
44%
Wilson Leite
44%
Cidônio Gonçalves
42%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
42%
Eliziane Gama
42%
Enilton Rodrigues 44%
Lahesio Bonfim 44%
Fufuca 44%
Raimundo Moreira 44%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Enilton Rodrigues
$0 Vol.
44%
Lahesio Bonfim
$0 Vol.
44%
Fufuca
$0 Vol.
44%
Raimundo Moreira
$0 Vol.
44%
Roseana Sarney
$0 Vol.
44%
Simplício Araújo
$0 Vol.
44%
Weverton Rocha
$0 Vol.
44%
Wilson Leite
$0 Vol.
44%
Cidônio Gonçalves
$0 Vol.
42%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
$0 Vol.
42%
Eliziane Gama
$0 Vol.
42%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Maranhão Senate race for first place, trader consensus reflects a highly fragmented field where no candidate holds a clear edge, with multiple pre-candidates clustered in recent polling around 10-14% amid substantial undecided and null votes. Incumbents Weverton Rocha and Eliziane Gama face challenges from established figures including Roseana Sarney, whose July 2026 pre-candidacy announcement added momentum to the MDB, alongside Lahesio Bonfim, André Fufuca, and others backed by parties such as PL, PP, and NOVO. Local political dynamics, including shifting alliances, regional voter bases in a state with strong family and party traditions, and the dual-seat structure keep the contest open. Further August polling releases, formal party conventions, or coalition announcements could consolidate support and widen gaps before the October vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Maranhão Senate race for first place, trader consensus reflects a highly fragmented field where no candidate holds a clear edge, with multiple pre-candidates clustered in recent polling around 10-14% amid substantial undecided and null votes. Incumbents Weverton Rocha and Eliziane Gama face challenges from established figures including Roseana Sarney, whose July 2026 pre-candidacy announcement added momentum to the MDB, alongside Lahesio Bonfim, André Fufuca, and others backed by parties such as PL, PP, and NOVO. Local political dynamics, including shifting alliances, regional voter bases in a state with strong family and party traditions, and the dual-seat structure keep the contest open. Further August polling releases, formal party conventions, or coalition announcements could consolidate support and widen gaps before the October vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In the Maranhão Senate race for first place, trader consensus reflects a highly fragmented field where no candidate holds a clear edge, with multiple pre-candidates clustered in recent polling around 10-14% amid substantial undecided and null votes. Incumbents Weverton Rocha and Eliziane Gama face challenges from established figures including Roseana Sarney, whose July 2026 pre-candidacy announcement added momentum to the MDB, alongside Lahesio Bonfim, André Fufuca, and others backed by parties such as PL, PP, and NOVO. Local political dynamics, including shifting alliances, regional voter bases in a state with strong family and party traditions, and the dual-seat structure keep the contest open. Further August polling releases, formal party conventions, or coalition announcements could consolidate support and widen gaps before the October vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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