The Maranhão Senate race for the two seats up in October 2026 features a crowded field of 11 candidates, with recent polls from July and August showing fragmented support across names such as Roseana Sarney, Weverton Rocha, Eliziane Gama, Lahesio Bonfim, André Fufuca, and others in the low-to-mid teens or below. Incumbents seeking re-election compete alongside federal deputies, former governors, and newer entrants from parties including MDB, PDT, PT, NOVO, and PP, producing high undecided shares and no dominant frontrunner in first- or combined-vote scenarios. This vote-splitting dynamic sustains tight trader consensus around second-place probabilities, with separation likely to emerge from subsequent surveys, alliance formations, or campaign momentum in the final weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMaranhão Senate Election: 2nd Place
Maranhão Senate Election: 2nd Place
Enilton Rodrigues 44%
Fufuca 44%
Simplício Araújo 44%
Weverton Rocha 44%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Enilton Rodrigues
44%
Fufuca
44%
Simplício Araújo
44%
Weverton Rocha
44%
Wilson Leite
44%
Lahesio Bonfim
44%
Raimundo Moreira
44%
Roseana Sarney
44%
Eliziane Gama
43%
Cidônio Gonçalves
42%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
42%
Enilton Rodrigues 44%
Fufuca 44%
Simplício Araújo 44%
Weverton Rocha 44%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Enilton Rodrigues
$0 Vol.
44%
Fufuca
$0 Vol.
44%
Simplício Araújo
$0 Vol.
44%
Weverton Rocha
$0 Vol.
44%
Wilson Leite
$0 Vol.
44%
Lahesio Bonfim
$0 Vol.
44%
Raimundo Moreira
$0 Vol.
44%
Roseana Sarney
$0 Vol.
44%
Eliziane Gama
$0 Vol.
43%
Cidônio Gonçalves
$0 Vol.
42%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
$0 Vol.
42%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Maranhão Senate race for the two seats up in October 2026 features a crowded field of 11 candidates, with recent polls from July and August showing fragmented support across names such as Roseana Sarney, Weverton Rocha, Eliziane Gama, Lahesio Bonfim, André Fufuca, and others in the low-to-mid teens or below. Incumbents seeking re-election compete alongside federal deputies, former governors, and newer entrants from parties including MDB, PDT, PT, NOVO, and PP, producing high undecided shares and no dominant frontrunner in first- or combined-vote scenarios. This vote-splitting dynamic sustains tight trader consensus around second-place probabilities, with separation likely to emerge from subsequent surveys, alliance formations, or campaign momentum in the final weeks.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Maranhão Senate race for the two seats up in October 2026 features a crowded field of 11 candidates, with recent polls from July and August showing fragmented support across names such as Roseana Sarney, Weverton Rocha, Eliziane Gama, Lahesio Bonfim, André Fufuca, and others in the low-to-mid teens or below. Incumbents seeking re-election compete alongside federal deputies, former governors, and newer entrants from parties including MDB, PDT, PT, NOVO, and PP, producing high undecided shares and no dominant frontrunner in first- or combined-vote scenarios. This vote-splitting dynamic sustains tight trader consensus around second-place probabilities, with separation likely to emerge from subsequent surveys, alliance formations, or campaign momentum in the final weeks.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Maranhão Senate race for the two seats up in October 2026 features a crowded field of 11 candidates, with recent polls from July and August showing fragmented support across names such as Roseana Sarney, Weverton Rocha, Eliziane Gama, Lahesio Bonfim, André Fufuca, and others in the low-to-mid teens or below. Incumbents seeking re-election compete alongside federal deputies, former governors, and newer entrants from parties including MDB, PDT, PT, NOVO, and PP, producing high undecided shares and no dominant frontrunner in first- or combined-vote scenarios. This vote-splitting dynamic sustains tight trader consensus around second-place probabilities, with separation likely to emerge from subsequent surveys, alliance formations, or campaign momentum in the final weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions